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Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense

Here you will find the best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense.

Vitória de Guimarães logo
Vitória de Guimarães

  • January 30, 2026 – 20::45
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Moreirense logo
Moreirense


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense

The best prediction for the match between Vitória de Guimarães and Moreirense in the Primeira Liga is that both teams will score. It is expected to be a challenging game for Luís Pinto’s team, who will likely approach the match with a lot of anxiety. Despite their high quality, they can score at any moment and might deliver a commendable performance. However, they will face a tough opponent that capitalizes on the errors of others, and Moreirense is sure to have its chances to find the net. Therefore, the “both teams to score” market fits well into this analysis, highlighting the strong season that Moreirense has had.

Best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense

The teams Vitória de Guimarães and Moreirense play at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a match for the 20th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last league meeting, Moreirense won at home (2-0) on August 23, 2025. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, who has won 4 and drawn 1 of the last 5 encounters. Indeed, in the last match here for the Primeira Liga, on November 3, 2024, Vitória SC won (1-0), with Nélson Oliveira scoring the only goal. Special attention is needed for home versus away results, as both teams exhibit significantly different performances in home and away matches.

Analysis of Vitória de Guimarães

After 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, the home team is currently in 9th position with 25 points. In their last match, they lost against Estoril away (4-2) after losing to Porto at home (0-1) in the previous game. Interestingly, the team has performed better away than at home, with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, scoring 15 goals and conceding 18, compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses at home, scoring 24 goals and conceding 18. In their last 10 home league games, Vitória de Guimarães has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, earning 15 points from 30 possible. Most frequent halftime scoreline at home has been 0-0 (4 in 10 games). In 19 matches in this competition, they have only managed 2 comebacks in the 10 games where they conceded first.

The team has struggled after initially shining in the League Cup, which they won. Shortly after, they faced FC Porto, a team they had previously defeated (1-3) in the same cup but lost (0-1) now in the league. A reaction was expected from Luís Pinto’s team during the trip to Estoril, but they lost again (4-2). Due to these two defeats, Vitória SC has dropped to 9th place and is now 6 points behind 5th place, held by Gil Vicente. If they suffer another defeat, Vitória SC may descend into a deep crisis, potentially falling to 10th place.

Analysis of Moreirense

The visiting team is currently in 6th place, having collected 30 points from 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to Alverca (2-1). However, in their last match, they won at home against Santa Clara (1-0). This team is affected by the home factor, showing stronger performances with their supporters, as they have achieved 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, scoring 18 goals and conceding 22. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a total of 21 goals scored and 19 goals conceded. In the league, Moreirense has collected 11 points from 30 possible after 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 away games. In their away league games, the most frequent halftime result has been 0-0 (4 in 10 games). Their attack has been consistently scoring, managing to score in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 19 games this season, they’ve had only 1 comeback in the 7 matches where they conceded first. Notably, they scored 5 of their 12 goals within the first 15 minutes in their last 10 matches played away in this league.

Unbothered by the adversities, Moreirense continues to have an excellent season. Currently placed 6th and only 1 point behind Gil Vicente, the team has achieved 3 wins in their last 4 matches, showcasing the great form they are in. Even on the road, Moreirense has been very competitive and will certainly pose numerous problems for a Vitória SC that has been under pressure.

Best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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