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Puebla vs Toluca Prediction – Liga MX
Check out the best predictions for Puebla vs Toluca
Here you will find the best prediction for Puebla vs Toluca in the MX League, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Puebla and Toluca.
 Puebla |
|  Toluca |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Puebla vs Toluca
Match preview: Puebla vs Toluca
Puebla and Toluca are set to clash at Cuauhtémoc Stadium in a matchup of the 12th round of the MX League. Historically, the home team has an advantage in direct confrontations at this venue, having won 2, drawn 1, and lost 1 of their last 4 encounters. Notably, the last meeting on this ground, on 27 January 2024, ended in a 1-1 draw, with goals from Fernando Navarro (23′) for Puebla and Robert Morales (45′) for Toluca. The home/away performance is noteworthy, as while this is a match between the 16th and 4th placed teams overall, it represents a clash between the poorest home performers and a stronger away side, with Puebla sitting 36th at home and Toluca 16th on the road.
Team analysis: Puebla
Puebla currently sits 16th, suffering from 6 wins, 4 draws and 18 losses, which has netted them only 8 points. Their last outing saw them defeated at home by the Pamples with a scoreline of 1-3, having previously lost away to Querétaro 0-2. Interestingly, Puebla has recorded better results on the road, garnering 5 points as visitors compared to just 3 at home. Over their last 10 home matches, Puebla has achieved 3 wins against 7 losses, claiming only 9 points from a possible 30. Their most common final score at home has been 1-2 (5 times in 14 games). Defensively, they have struggled, conceding in 8 of their last 10 matches, although their attack has been more consistent, scoring in 8 of the last 10. Out of 28 matches in the competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have never managed to recover a match from that position.
The drop in form at home has proven to be a significant obstacle for Puebla. The team has experienced three consecutive losses in the league and must find a way to react to avoid further complications. Adopting a more offensive strategy may be crucial to their success in this match against Toluca, who are undoubtedly in better form.
Team analysis: Toluca
Toluca, positioned 4th with 16 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses, has racked up 18 points. In their last match, they achieved a convincing 5-2 victory over Necaxa, following a previous 0-3 defeat away at America. They have shown resilience regardless of venue, achieving similar results both at home and on the road. In the league, Toluca has managed 14 points out of a possible 30, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away games. The team has allowed goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities, yet they have demonstrated a consistent scoring ability, netting goals in 9 of the last 10 matches they played in this competition. Away matches often see a high number of goals, with 13 of their last 15 encounters ending with over 1.5 goals. In 30 games in the league, they have only managed to turn the match around once in the 10 occasions when they conceded first.
Currently enjoying better form, Toluca enters this match with increased expectations. However, it is essential they do not become complacent or alter their approach because of recent results. Coming off an impressive victory over Necaxa, where they scored five goals, maintaining this high performance level will be vital as they seek points in this away contest against Puebla.
The best prediction for Puebla vs Toluca
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (good live betting option)
Over 1.5 goals (good for live, double or treble betting)
Both teams to score (a riskier bet)
Will both teams score? Yes
