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Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction – Liga MX
Check out the best predictions for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Here you find the best prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna in the MX League, along with match analysis and betting advice.
Read below for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the most accurate prediction for the encounter between Toluca vs Santos Laguna.
 Toluca |
|  Santos Laguna |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Toluca vs Santos Laguna
The best prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Toluca to win at the interval
Match preview: Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Toluca and Santos Laguna meet at Estadio Nemesio Diez, in a clash of the 14th round of the MX League. Historically, the home team has an advantage, with 3 wins and 1 loss in their last 4 encounters at this venue. The last meeting here occurred on 22nd February 2024, where Toluca triumphed with a score of 1-0. The only goal was scored by Tiago Volpi in the 76th minute. Although this match features the 2nd and 18th positioned teams in the overall standings, it is noteworthy that Toluca ranks 10th in home fixtures while Santos Laguna is 34th away from home.
Team analysis: Toluca
The home side currently occupies 2nd place in the league table with a total of 27 points, having recorded 18 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a 0-3 victory against Puebla and followed it with a 3-2 home win over Pachuca. Toluca’s home form has significantly contributed to their points tally, accumulating 16 points at their stadium with an impressive goal record of 45 scored and only 15 conceded, while they have garnered 11 points away with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last 10 league fixtures at home, Toluca has claimed 23 points out of a possible 30, with their attack consistently finding the net in 9 of those matches. Notably, in 12 of their last 16 home games, over 2.5 goals have been scored. In 32 matches this season, they have conceded the first goal on 10 occasions but have only managed to turn the tide once.
Playing at home, Toluca aims to solidify their standing in the competition with a robust performance against a traditional rival. The team focuses on maintaining defensive consistency to control the tempo of the match and meticulously build their attack. An intense match is anticipated with midfield dominance likely to determine the outcome. The players are fully aware of the need to maintain focus and intensity in order to transform their territorial control into tangible advantage.
Team analysis: Santos Laguna
The visiting side currently finds itself in 18th position, having managed to gain only 7 points from 4 wins, 5 draws, and 21 losses. In their latest outing, they suffered a 2-3 loss against Atletico San Luis at home, following a 0-3 defeat away to Tigers UANL in the match prior. This team has been more successful at home, where they’ve collected 6 points, compared to just 1 point on the road. Over their last 10 league encounters, Santos Laguna has recorded 1 draw and 9 losses, accumulating just 1 point from a possible 30 available.
In the current campaign, they have not secured a win in their last 15 away matches. Furthermore, the most frequent half-time result when playing away is 0-0 (6 times in 15 games). Defensively, they have been vulnerable, allowing goals in 9 of their last 10 league matches. Rarely do they take the lead, having only opened the scoring in 7 of their last 30 fixtures, with only 4 half-time leads and 2 overall wins. In 30 matches this season, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have only managed 2 comebacks. Notably, in their 15 recent away games, they scored 4 out of their 10 goals between minutes 31 and 45.
Santos Laguna will enter the pitch with the objective of regaining balance in their gameplay and asserting themselves in away fixtures. The team struggles with inconsistency, switching between moments of prominence and downturns that affect results, highlighting the need for tactical rigidity. Against a dominant opponent, it will be vital for them to avoid conceding spaces and effectively capitalise on counter-attacks from the onset. The strategy should focus on competitiveness and organisation right from kick-off.
The best prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Toluca to win at the interval
