👉 What is the recommended bet for Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Toluca vs Santos Laguna on January 15, 2026, written by our experts, is: Toluca to win at Halftime ⇒ bet available.

👉 Which stadium will host Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

Toluca vs Santos Laguna on January 15, 2026, will be played at Toluca de Lerdo, Estadio Nemesio Díez.

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Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction – Liga MX

January 13, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Toluca vs Santos Laguna

Here you will find the best prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna in Liga MX, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent performance and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Toluca and Santos Laguna.

Toluca

January 15, 2026 – 03::00
Liga MX
2025/2026
Clausura – Round 2

Santos Laguna

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Toluca vs Santos Laguna

The best prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna in Liga MX is a victory for Toluca at halftime. Toluca enters this match on a high after maintaining strong performance in the previous tournament, where they were at the top of the table. They are known for their defensive consistency and ability to control the pace of the game, while Santos Laguna still shows vulnerabilities, especially away from home. Therefore, the suggested bet is on Toluca leading at halftime.

Best prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna

Toluca to win at Halftime

Match prediction for Toluca vs Santos Laguna

The teams Toluca and Santos Laguna meet at Estadio Nemesio Díez for a match in Liga MX (Clausura). The historical head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, who has won 4 of their last 4 encounters here. The last time they played was on April 7, 2025, in a Liga MX match that ended with Toluca winning 2-1. Marcel Ruíz (45′) and Paulinho (39′) scored for Toluca, while Javier Güemez (66′) found the net for Santos Laguna. In this match, the home advantage will be significant, as Santos Laguna has shown marked differences in results when playing at home compared to when they are away.

Analysis of Toluca

The home team enters this second round after winning their league opener against Monterrey, 1-0. This team has demonstrated consistent performance when playing away, having recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, compared to 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss at home.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 10 home games. Their home matches tend to be high-scoring, as 9 of their last 12 games in the competition ended with over 2.5 goals. In 24 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but managed to turn the score around in 5 instances.

Toluca is entering as one of the favorites, both due to their impressive start in Clausura and their dominant campaign in Apertura, where they finished first with 37 points and the best goal difference in the league. They won in the first round and have shown offensive consistency and defensive solidity, qualities that put them once again as title contenders. Playing at home against Santos Laguna further enhances their chances of securing another three points.

Analysis of Santos Laguna

The visiting team approaches this second round after a defeat in their league opener against Necaxa, 1-3. This team has been impacted by home advantage, showing strength when playing in front of their fans, as they have registered 3 draws and 12 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 14 goals and conceding 34. At home, they secured 8 wins and 7 losses, with 22 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the competition, Santos Laguna has earned 2 points out of a possible 24, following 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 8 away games.

They have not won any of their last 8 games outside their stadium in this competition. In away matches, the result most frequently seen at halftime has been 1-0, which occurred in 3 of their 10 games. The team allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, yet their offense has been scoring regularly, managing to find the net in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend of high-scoring encounters, as 6 of their last 8 matches in the competition ended with over 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they suffered the first goal 9 times and have never turned the score around.

Santos Laguna, for their part, started Clausura with a loss and is trying to overcome an irregular Apertura season, where they finished 11th and conceded numerous goals. The team showed some improvement towards the end of last tournament, but they continue to face defensive problems. Facing Toluca away is a significant challenge, and the team will need a standout performance to surprise and avoid another setback at the start of the championship.