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Tijuana vs Puebla Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Tijuana vs Puebla

Here you will find the best prediction for Tijuana vs Puebla in Liga MX, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head records and key statistics from their latest games to offer the best prediction for this match between Tijuana and Puebla.

Tijuana logo
Tijuana

  • February 7, 2026 – 03::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 5
Puebla logo
Puebla


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Tijuana vs Puebla

The best prediction for Tijuana vs Puebla in Liga MX is a win for Tijuana. Tijuana enters the match aiming to maintain their unbeaten streak in the Clausura against a pressured and unstable Puebla. Playing at home, Tijuana tends to set the tempo and control the game. They exploit the difficulties that the visitors have in responding when they fall behind. It’s expected that Tijuana will suffer few goals and that Puebla will struggle offensively. Betting on Tijuana to win appears to be the best option for this match.

Best prediction for Tijuana vs Puebla

Tijuana to win

Match prediction for Tijuana vs Puebla

The teams Tijuana and Puebla are set to clash at Estadio Caliente in a Liga MX (Clausura) match. In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 encounters. The last time they met at this venue was on November 11, 2024, in a Liga MX match that ended with a Tijuana victory (2-1). Tijuana’s goals were scored by Carlos Gonzalez (90′) and Joe Corona (60′), while Emanuel Gularte (8′) scored for Puebla. In this match, the home advantage is significant as both teams show considerable differences in their results when playing at home versus away.

Tijuana Analysis

After 9 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, the home team sits at 8th place with 6 points. In their last match, they drew against Monterrey away (2-2), following a previous home draw against Atlético San Luis (1-1). They are a stronger team at home, registering 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 loss at home.

The team has not lost at home for 13 matches in this competition. In their home matches, the most common scoreline at half-time is 1-0, which has occurred in 6 out of their 13 games. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 7 out of their last 10 matches, but their offense has been consistent, scoring in 7 out of those 10 games. In 24 matches in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score once in 7 games where they conceded first. In their last 13 home games, they conceded 4 out of 8 goals in the minutes (76’‑90′).

Although Tijuana may have just one victory in the season’s outset, they have built an unbeaten run that instills confidence for the Clausura. The team exhibits emotional solidity and does not easily give up ground on the field. Even without dazzling performances, they compete intensely and know how to endure when necessary. Playing at home, they aim to impose their game and take charge right from the early minutes. The standings still provide hope for a high finish and the squad believes in their potential. Against Puebla, the prediction calls for attitude and patience. Converting consistency into results is the next step.

Puebla Analysis

The visiting team currently stands in 14th place, with 4 points, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses. In their second-to-last match, they lost away to Cruz Azul (1-0). In their most recent match, they drew at home against Toluca (0-0). Puebla is affected by playing at home, being stronger with the support of their fans, as shown by their last 30 games—1 win, 2 draws, and 12 losses away, scoring a total of 10 goals and conceding 31. At home, they achieved 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with 16 goals scored and 27 conceded. In their last 10 away games in the league, Puebla has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, earning just 5 points out of a possible 30. They have allowed goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition, indicating weaknesses in their defense. In 21 matches in this competition, they have managed just 1 comeback in the 13 matches where they fell behind first.

Puebla is experiencing a turbulent start in the Clausura, far from ideal. Things are not clicking on the pitch and their mental strain is negatively impacting collective performance. With only four points accrued and two losses to their name, the pressure mounts round by round. The team displays difficulty in responding when they fall behind on the scoreline. Away from home, the challenge grows even more complex. They will face a solid and unbeaten Tijuana. To cause an upset, Puebla will need to push their limits and showcase the football that has yet to emerge.

Best prediction for Tijuana vs Puebla

Tijuana to win

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