👉 What is the recommended bet for Puebla vs Toluca?

The prediction and suggested bet for Puebla vs Toluca, on January 30, 2026, based on the analysis, is: Toluca to win ⇒ bet available.

👉 In which stadium will Puebla vs Toluca be played?

The Puebla vs Toluca match on January 30, 2026, will take place in Puebla, at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

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Puebla vs Toluca Prediction – Liga MX

January 27, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Puebla vs Toluca

Here you will find the best prediction for Puebla vs Toluca in Liga MX, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Puebla and Toluca.

Puebla

January 30, 2026 – 01::00
Liga MX
2025/2026
Clausura – Round 4

Toluca

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Puebla vs Toluca

The best prediction for
Puebla vs Toluca in Liga MX is a win for Toluca. The matchup places opposing teams in contrasting situations at the start of Clausura. Puebla is still searching for consistency and arrives under pressure following negative results, while Toluca shows balance, consistency, and confidence in its playing style. Even playing away, Toluca has demonstrated maturity in controlling matches and capitalizing on the opponent’s mistakes. Given this prediction, the indicated bet leans towards a Toluca victory, as they arrive more organized and secure for the clash.

Best prediction for Puebla vs Toluca

Toluca to win

Match prediction for Puebla vs Toluca

The teams Puebla and Toluca play at Estadio Cuauhtémoc in a Liga MX (Clausura) match. In this stadium, the historical record of direct confrontations is in favor of the visiting team, which holds 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. In fact, the last time they met at this stadium was on March 15, 2025, in a Liga MX game that ended with a 3-0 victory for Toluca. The goals in the match were scored by Alexis Vega (62’), Jesús Gallardo (15’), and Paulinho (57’) for Toluca. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as Puebla shows significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of Puebla

The home team is currently in 14th place, with 3 points earned, after 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses. In their previous game, they won at home against Mazatlán (2-1). In their last match, they lost away to Cruz Azul (1-0). This team is stronger when playing at home, as in their last 30 games they have recorded 1 victory, 2 draws, and 12 losses as visitors, compared to 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses at home. In the league, Puebla has garnered 10 points out of a possible 27 after 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last 9 home games. The team has not been very strong defensively, as they have conceded goals in each of the last 10 matches played in this competition. In their home games, there is a tendency for goals, as 6 of their last 9 matches in the competition ended with over 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in this competition, they have only managed to come from behind in 1 of the 13 matches in which they conceded the first goal. There is a standout period in their last 15 matches played at home across all competitions: they scored 6 of their 17 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Puebla has faced two defeats and only one victory in this early stage of the Clausura. The team did not start 2026 as they hoped and is still seeking its identity on the field. Mistakes have cost dearly in the opening rounds. Now, the pressure naturally increases. Facing their supporters, the team knows that they need to prove their potential. The response must match the challenge. Taking on Toluca demands maximum concentration and attitude. For Puebla, winning has become a necessity to turn things around.

Analysis of Toluca

After 16 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, the visiting team is in 2nd place, having earned 7 points. In their last match, they drew with Tigres UANL away (0-0), after winning at home against Santos Laguna (3-1) in the previous match. This team maintains performance when playing away, as they have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, compared to 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss at home. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Toluca has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, gathering 18 points out of 30 possible. In their league away matches, the most frequent halftime result was 0-0 (6 out of 13 matches). In their away games, there is a tendency for few goals, as 8 of their last 13 matches in the competition ended with under 2.5 goals. In 26 matches for Liga MX, they conceded the first goal 10 times but managed to turn the score around in 6 of those matches. There is a standout period in their last 13 matches played as visitors in this competition: they scored 7 of their 19 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Toluca comes into this fixture enjoying a brighter phase at the start of the Clausura. They have played three matches with no defeats thus far. The team has conceded only one goal and scored four, reflecting balance and consistency. They know how to control the moments of the match. Defensive solidity has been an important foundation. Offensively, they capitalize well on opportunities. This collective strength can once again be a significant differential. Away from home, Toluca seeks to secure important points while maintaining their identity.