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Nice vs Montpellier Prediction – French Cup

Check out the best predictions for Nice vs Montpellier

Here you will find the best prediction for Nice vs Montpellier in the French Cup, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Nice and Montpellier.

Nice logo
Nice

  • February 4, 2026 – 19::30
  • French Cup

  • 2025/2026
  • Round of 16
Montpellier logo
Montpellier


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Nice vs Montpellier

The best prediction for
Nice vs Montpellier in the French Cup is to expect few goals. In addition to a balanced match, both teams typically prioritize solid defensive play. Notably, the “Under 3 Goals” market has been successful in 70% of Montpellier’s last ten official matches. Therefore, it is anticipated that both teams will approach this match cautiously, delaying goal-scoring opportunities.

Best prediction for Nice vs Montpellier

Handicap, Under 3 goals

Match prediction for Nice vs Montpellier

The teams Nice and Montpellier will play at Allianz Riviera in a match of the French Cup (Round of 16). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 encounters. In fact, in the last confrontation at this stadium for Ligue 1, on February 23, 2025, Nice won 2-0. The goals for Nice were scored by Hicham Boudaoui (65′) and Jonathan Clauss (30′). There is a significant difference in performance at home and away, as both teams have produced notably different results in their respective home and away games.

Nice Analysis

The home team enters this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16) after having faced previous eliminations against Nantes and Saint‑Étienne. This is a team significantly affected by home advantage, performing better in front of their fans, as evidenced by their last 30 matches recording 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses away, scoring 16 goals and conceding 33, compared to 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses at home, scoring 21 goals and conceding 22. In their last match in Ligue 1, they drew 2-2 against Brest. In the last 10 home games, Nice has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 games, but their attack has been consistently scoring, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 matches. Out of 15 games, they conceded the first goal 9 times and have never managed to turn the score around.

The teams Nice and Montpellier enter this match after a 2-2 draw against Brest in Ligue 1. It’s worth noting that the home team reached this stage of the French Cup after eliminating Nantes in the previous match. The home team usually lines up in a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on offensive transitions. In this setup, it is likely that Mohamed-Ali Cho, Sofiane Diop, and Elye Wahi will make up the attacking trio, while Morgan Sanson is tasked with organizing offensive plays. When they invest in their offensive process, they typically do so through the left flank, benefiting from the width provided by left-back Ali Abdi. Missing in this game are Melvin Bard, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Moïse Bombito, all injured.

Montpellier Analysis

To reach this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16), the visiting team eliminated Metz, Canet Roussillon, Montceau, and Agde. Interestingly, this team has been stronger away from home than at home, with a record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, compared to 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses at their stadium. The team arrives at this match after a convincing home victory against Guingamp (3-1). In their last 4 away matches in the French Cup, Montpellier won all 4.

Recently, they have recorded a sequence of 4 consecutive victories. The team has shown great defensive solidity, not conceding any goals in their last 4 games, and their attack has scored regularly, netting at least one goal in each of their last 4 matches in this competition. Their away games tend to feature fewer goals, as 9 of their last 22 matches ended with fewer than 1.5 goals, and 18 of the last 22 finished with fewer than 2.5 goals. Out of 15 matches, they conceded the first goal 6 times but managed to come back in 2 of those instances.

The teams Montpellier and Guingamp enter this match coming off a victory, winning 3-1 in their match in Ligue 2. It’s important to point out that the visitors arrived at this stage of the French Cup after eliminating Metz in the previous match. The visiting team typically adopts a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on offensive transitions and utilizing the wings to create goal-scoring opportunities. Yanis Issoufou, Nicolas Pays, and Alexandre Mendy are the main attacking figures, while the right flank stands out with the depth offered by Enzo Tchato Mbiayi. All players are available for this game.

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