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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Here you will find the best prediction for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Newcastle and Crystal Palace.

Newcastle logo
Newcastle

  • January 4, 2026 – 15::00
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Crystal Palace logo
Crystal Palace


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

The best prediction for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League is that Newcastle will score over 1.5 goals. Not only is the team benefiting from strong home support, but they are also facing an opponent that is currently in a phase of significant inconsistency. It is noteworthy that Newcastle has scored at least two goals in each of their last six home matches. Given this proficiency, it is expected that Newcastle will confirm their favoritism and clinch the three points with a significant scoreline.

Best prediction for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle to score over 1.5 goals

Match prediction for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

The teams Newcastle and Crystal Palace are set to meet at St. James’ Park in a match for the 20th round of the Premier League. The head-to-head history at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 1 of the last 6 matches here. Indeed, in the last encounter at this venue for the Premier League on April 16, 2025, Newcastle United triumphed with a score of 5-0. The goals for Newcastle were scored by Fabian Schär (45′), Jacob Murphy (14′), Alexander Isak (58′), Harvey Barnes (45′), and Marc Guéhi (38′ Own goal). Special attention is needed regarding home/away performance, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Newcastle Analysis

After 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, the home team sits in 13th place with 26 points. In their last match, they defeated Burnley away with a score of 3-1, after previously losing to Manchester United 1-0 in the match before. Newcastle is impacted by home advantage, performing better in front of their fans, as they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 20 goals and conceding 20, compared to 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses at home, scoring 30 goals and conceding 16. In their last 9 league home games, Newcastle has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, earning 17 points from a possible 27.

In this competition, they have not lost at home in 6 matches. However, their defense has not been very strong, conceding goals in each of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistently scoring, successfully finding the net in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Their home games have a tendency to see goals, as 7 of their last 9 matches in the league have ended with over 2.5 goals. In 19 matches in the competition, they have never managed to overturn the scoreline in the 4 matches where they conceded the first goal. There is one period to highlight in the last 20 matches played at home across all competitions: they conceded 8 of their 21 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Newcastle comes into this match following a victory, 3-1, against Burnley, ending a three-match winless streak in this Premier League. The goals for this victory were scored by Bruno Guimarães, Yoane Wissa, and Joelinton. The team led by Eddie Howe is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Anthony Gordon, Yoane Wissa, and Harvey Barnes as the main offensive threats. In midfield, Sandro Tonali will be in charge of organizing the play. Missing from this match are Sven Botman, Tino Livramento, Kieran Trippier, Emil Krafth, William Osula, and Dan Burn, all due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Nick Pope, Lewis Hall, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schär, Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, Sandro Tonali, Lewis Miley, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon.
Coach: E. Howe.

Crystal Palace Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 10th place, having collected 27 points from 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Tottenham Hotspur 1-0. In their last match, they drew at home with Fulham 1-1. It is curious that this team has shown better results away than at home, as in their last 30 games they have 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, with a total of 22 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home, they have achieved 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a total of 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Their last away match in this competition ended in a 4-1 defeat to Leeds United. In their last 9 away league matches, Crystal Palace has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, earning 16 points from a possible 27. In their league matches as visitors, the most frequent halftime score has been 0-1 (4 out of 9 matches). Their attack has been scoring regularly, managing to score in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 19 matches in this competition, they have never managed to turn the score around in the 5 matches where they conceded the first goal. In their last 20 away matches across all competitions, one period stands out: they conceded 10 of their 25 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Crystal Palace comes into this match after drawing 1-1 with Fulham, marking their fourth consecutive match without tasting victory in this Premier League, with their only goal scored by Jean-Philippe Mateta. The visiting team usually plays in a tactical system of 3-4-3, favoring an offensive playing style with quick attacks through the flanks. In this setup, the most influential players in the offensive line are Jean-Philippe Mateta, Justin Devenny, and Yéremy Pino. When advancing into attack, the team tends to exploit the right flank, benefiting from the overlaps of fullback Nathaniel Clyne. Missing from this match are Daniel Muñoz, Cheick Doucouré, and Caleb Kporha, due to injuries, as well as Ismaïla Sarr, who is participating in the AFCON.

Confirmed lineup: Dean Henderson, Marc Guéhi, Maxence Lacroix, Nathaniel Clyne, Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Justin Devenny, Will Hughes, Jefferson Lerma, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Yéremy Pino.
Coach: O. Glasner.

Best prediction for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle to score over 1.5 goals

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