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Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente

Here you will find the best prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Moreirense and Gil Vicente.

Moreirense logo
Moreirense

  • February 7, 2026 – 15::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Moreirense vs Gil Vicente

The best prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga is a double chance for Moreirense or a draw. Moreirense is a very difficult team to beat at home, especially against teams that are not title contenders. Their only two losses at home in the last five matches came against Benfica and FC Porto. In their last two games, they won against Santa Clara and Tondela, both with a score of 1-0. Thus, a double chance for Moreirense is the suggested bet for this duel.

Best prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente

Double chance, Moreirense or Draw

Match prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente

The teams Moreirense and Gil Vicente meet at the Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas for a match in the 21st round of the Primeira Liga. The last time these teams faced off, Gil Vicente won at home by a score of 2-0 on August 29, 2025. The history of direct confrontations in this stadium shows balance between these two teams, with 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. However, in the last match at this stadium during the Primeira Liga on November 8, 2024, Moreirense won by 3-2. The goals in that match were scored by Guilherme Schettine (65′), Dinis Pinto (70′), and Luis Nlavo (87′) for Moreirense, while Jorge Aguirre (47′) and Tidjany Chabrol Touré (25′) scored for Gil Vicente. It is essential to pay close attention to home/away forms, as Moreirense has shown varying results at home compared to away.

Analysis of Moreirense

After 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, the home team is in 6th place with 30 points. In their last match, they lost to Vitória SC away by 1-0, following a home victory against Santa Clara, also by 1-0. This team tends to perform better at home, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home, they have achieved 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, scoring 21 goals and conceding 19. In their last 9 home matches in the league, Moreirense has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, earning 19 points from a possible 27. Home games often see a score of 0-0 at halftime (4 in 9 games). Their attack has scored regularly, netting in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches, there is a trend for goals, as 6 out of 9 have ended with more than 2.5 goals scored. In 20 games this season, they conceded the first goal 8 times and managed to turn the score around only once. There is a highlighted period in their last 16 home matches across all competitions: they conceded 8 of their 21 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Moreirense comes into this match after a tight derby against local rivals Vitória SC, where they narrowly lost 1-0. This marked their second close defeat in the last five games, showing that this team remains highly competitive despite the setbacks. Holding 30 points in 6th place, Moreirense has just a 1 point lead over Estoril and Famalicão, and 2 over Vitória SC. They enter the duel against Gil Vicente with little room for error, as anything less than a win could jeopardize their 6th place.

Analysis of Gil Vicente

After 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, the visiting team is in 4th place with 34 points. In their last match, they secured a 5-0 victory against Famalicão at home, following a 3-0 defeat against Porto in the previous game on the road. This team is relatively unaffected by home ground advantage, showing similar results both home and away, with 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses as visitors in the last 30 matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding 15. At home, they have 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, totaling 19 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Gil Vicente has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, gaining 14 points from a possible 30.

They have not won an away game in their last 5 attempts. While defensive solidity has not been their strongest asset, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of those 10 games. In 20 league games to date, they have never come from behind to win in any of the 5 matches in which they conceded the first goal. During their last 10 away fixtures, one particular period stands out: they netted 6 of their 12 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Gil Vicente was the standout performer in their previous match, defeating Famalicão with a convincing score of 5-0. This was their second win in the past 3 games, indicating that the “cock of Barcelos” seems to have regained its form, especially now that key players who had been missing due to the 2025 AFCON are back. Thus, this trip to Moreira de Cónegos will serve as a good test for assessing their improvement over the last few weeks.

Best prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente

Double chance, Moreirense or Draw

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