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Metz vs Lille Prediction – Ligue 1

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Check out the best predictions for Metz vs Lille

Here you will find the top prediction for Metz vs Lille in Ligue 1, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including recent history and key statistics from past matches to provide the best prediction for this Metz vs Lille match.

Metz logo
Metz

  • February 6, 2026 – 19::45

  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Lille logo
Lille


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Metz vs Lille

The best prediction for Metz vs Lille in Ligue 1 is a Lille win. Although the home team will have strong support from their fans, the visiting side boasts a squad with superior technical and tactical quality. It’s also worth noting that Metz has only won 2 out of their last 9 home games. Therefore, it is expected that the visitors will capitalize on their strengths and secure the three points.

Best prediction for Metz vs Lille

Lille to win

Match prediction for Metz vs Lille

The teams Metz and Lille face off at Stade Saint‑Symphorien, in a match of the 21st round of Ligue 1. In their last encounter in this competition on October 26, 2025, LOSC Lille won at home by (6-1). At this stadium, the recent head-to-head history favors the visitors, who have 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 meetings. Effectively, the last time they clashed at this venue was on April 28, 2024, in a Ligue 1 game that ended with a victory for LOSC Lille (1-2). The goals in that match were scored by Georges Mikautadze (23′) for Metz and Yusuf Yazıcı (44′) and Ismaily (31′) for Lille. The home factor may play a significant role in this match, as both teams show considerable differences in their performance at home versus away.

Analysis of Metz

The home team is currently in 18th place, having earned 12 points from 3 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Olympique Lyonnais (2-5). In their last match, they lost away to Angers SCO (1-0). This team tends to perform better at home, with their last 30 games recording 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at home. In their last 9 home league games, Metz has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, collecting 8 points from a possible 27. In their home league games, the score most frequently at halftime was 0-0 (4 out of 9 matches). The team has allowed goals to opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, managing to find the net in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition. In 20 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 13 times and only managed one comeback. In their last 18 home matches across all competitions, one notable period is that they scored 10 of their 26 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

The Metz team enters this match after a 1-0 defeat at Angers’ stadium, marking their third consecutive loss in Ligue 1. The home side usually lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, favoring a direct playing style, with long passes and crosses into the box. The main attacking references are Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Habib Diallo, and Gauthier Hein, while Benjamin Stambouli organizes the midfield, distributing play effectively. Missing this match are Jean-Philippe Gbamin due to suspension, and Joseph Mangondo and Pape Sy, both injured.

Confirmed lineup: Jonathan Fischer, Michel Mboula, Koffi Kouao, Terry Yegbe, Fodé Ballo-Touré, Benjamin Stambouli, Boubacar Traoré, Jessy Deminguet, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Gauthier Hein, Habib Diallo.
Coach: F. Antonetti.

Analysis of Lille

After 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 5th place, having earned 32 points. In their last match, they lost to Olympique Lyonnais away (1-0), following a previous defeat at home against Strasbourg (1-4). This team performs stronger at home, as their last 30 games show 6 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses as visitors, compared to 9 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses at home. In the league, Lille has captured 13 points from 30 available, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last 10 away matches.

Currently, they are on a streak of 4 defeats in their most recent matches. The usual halftime score in their league away games was 1-0 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive solidity has not been a strong point, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 20 games in this competition, they have allowed the first goal 11 times and managed only 2 comebacks. A notable period in their last 10 away matches in this competition is that they scored 10 of their 17 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Lille heads into this match after suffering a 1-0 defeat at Lyon’s stadium, marking their fourth consecutive loss in this competition. The visiting side typically operates in a 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing offensive transitions and channeling their attack through the flanks. The main attacking players for the visiting team are Matías Fernández, Félix Correia, and Olivier Giroud. The team tends to develop their offensive plays on the left flank, exploiting the depth and offensive capacity of left-back Romain Perraud to create imbalances in the opposing defense. Missing from this game are Thomas Meunier, Marc-Aurèle Caillard, Osame Sahraoui, Hamza Igamane, and Ousmane Touré, all with physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Berke Özer, Aïssa Mandi, Nathan Ngoy, Romain Perraud, Tiago Santos, Benjamin André, Ngal’ayel Mukau, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Matías Fernández-Pardo, Olivier Giroud.
Coach: B. Génésio.

Best prediction for Metz vs Lille

Lille to win

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