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Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Here you will find the best prediction for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent head-to-head results and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Freiburg and Werder Bremen.

Freiburg logo
Freiburg

  • February 7, 2026 – 14::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

The best prediction for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga is a Freiburg win. Playing in front of their home crowd and going through a positive phase in their stadium, the Freiburg team should take control of the game early on. They will face an opponent that not only has less individual talent but also tends to struggle away from home. Therefore, a match dominated by the hosts is expected, and they should convert this superiority into goals to secure the victory.

Best prediction for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg to win

Match prediction for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

The teams Freiburg and Werder Bremen will play at the Europa-Park Stadion in a match for the 21st round of the Bundesliga. It was SC Freiburg who won away (0-3) the last time they met in this edition of the league on September 20, 2025. The head-to-head history at this stadium favors the home team, which has won all of the last 3 matches at home. In fact, in the last confrontation at this stadium for the Bundesliga on February 21, 2025, SC Freiburg won by (5-0). The goals for Freiburg were scored by Ritsu Doan (76′ and 90′), Vincenzo Grifo (57′ and 33′), and Kiliann Sildillia (15′). Special attention should be paid to the home/away condition as Freiburg shows varying results at home and away.

Analysis Freiburg

The home team is currently in 7th place, with 27 points earned from 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against FC Köln (2-1). In their last game, they lost away to VfB Stuttgart (1-0). This is a team affected by home advantage, being stronger when playing in front of their own fans. In the last 30 matches, they have 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 19 goals and conceding 22, compared to 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss at home, scoring 28 goals and conceding 13. In the last 9 home games in the league, Freiburg has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, achieving 18 points out of a possible 27.

In this competition, they have not lost at home for 8 matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, having conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games; however, their attack has scored regularly, netting in 8 of the last 10 encounters in this competition. At home, there is a trend for goals, given that 9 of their last 9 matches in the league ended with over 1.5 goals. In 20 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 10 times and only managed to recover the score 3 times. In their last 15 home games across all competitions, one notable period is that they conceded 5 of their 12 goals between the minutes (31′-45′).

Freiburg arrives at this match after a 1-0 defeat in the visit to Stuttgart. The home team usually plays in a 3-4-3 tactical system, favoring a quicker style of play. In this setup, the three key players responsible for creating chances in the attacking zone are Vincenzo Grifo, Igor Matanović, and Jan-Niklas Beste. Midfielder Maximilian Eggestein is the team’s brain, responsible for dictating the pace of plays and launching Freiburg’s offensive moves. Missing this match are Lukas Kübler, Philipp Lienhart, and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, all due to injuries.

Analysis Werder Bremen

The visiting team is currently in 15th place, with 19 points earned from 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to TSG Hoffenheim (0-2). In their last match, they drew at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach (1-1). This is a team that is not heavily affected by home advantage; their results are similar both at home and away, as in their last 30 games they record 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 23 goals and conceding 23. At home, they achieved 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. Their last away match in this competition ended in a defeat (1-0) against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. In the last 10 away games in the league, Werder Bremen has only recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, earning 6 points from a possible 30.

For this competition, they have not won any of their last 8 away matches. The team conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition, showing they have not been very strong defensively. In 20 games in this competition, they have managed just 1 comeback in the 13 matches in which they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 away games for this competition, one notable period is that they conceded 7 of their 20 goals between the minutes (61′-75′).

Werder Bremen comes into this match following a 1-1 draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach, with the only goal of the team scored by Keke Topp. The team coached by Horst Steffen usually lines up in a 3-4-3 tactical system, favoring a compact and organized approach, looking to exploit quick transitions to surprise their opponents. In the offensive sector, the key players are Samuel Mbangula, Romano Schmid, and Justin Njinmah, who are crucial in creating dangerous plays. In the midfield, Jens Stage is responsible for balancing the team, ensuring defensive solidity and quality in ball progression. Missing from this game are Leonardo Bittencourt, Niklas Stark, Maximilian Wöber, Amos Pieper, Mitchell Weiser, and Victor Boniface, all sidelined due to injuries.

Best prediction for Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg to win

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