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Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction – Eredivisie

Check out the best predictions for Excelsior vs Ajax

Here you will find the best prediction for Excelsior vs Ajax in the Eredivisie, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from the latest matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Excelsior and Ajax.

Excelsior logo
Excelsior

  • February 1, 2026 – 11::15
  • Eredivisie

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Ajax logo
Ajax


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Excelsior and Ajax

The best prediction for
Excelsior vs Ajax in the Eredivisie is a win for Ajax. The visitors are performing better this season, while Excelsior has clear defensive struggles. It is expected that Ajax will dominate the game tempo and manage attacking opportunities, making the bet on Ajax’s victory the most recommended for this matchup.

Best prediction for Excelsior vs Ajax

Ajax to win

Match prediction for Excelsior vs Ajax

The teams Excelsior and Ajax face off at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match of the 21st round of the Eredivisie. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on November 22, 2025, Excelsior won away (1-2). The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as Excelsior shows significant differences in results at home versus away.

Excelsior Analysis

After 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, the home team is in 13th place, having earned 22 points. In their last match, they drew with FC Twente away (0-0), after previously drawing away against AZ (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing in front of their fans, as they have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 28, compared to 9 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses at home, with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last 10 home games in the league, Excelsior has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, earning 13 points out of 30 possible. In their matches played at home, there are some frequent scores at the end of the first 45 minutes: 0-0 (4 in 10 matches) and 1-0 (4 in 10 matches). The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 20 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and have never come back from behind. In their last 10 home matches in this competition, there are 1 standout periods: they scored 4 of their 10 goals between the minutes (0′-15′).

Excelsior is going through a difficult moment in the competition, having faced challenges in recent rounds. The team hasn’t won for some time, increasing the pressure for an immediate response. The risk of complicating their position on the table makes this matchup even more significant. Playing at home, they will try to use the advantage to gain confidence. However, they know they will face a considerable challenge ahead. The need for focus and organization will be crucial in trying to surprise their opponents.

Ajax Analysis

After 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, the visiting team is in 3rd place, having earned 37 points. In their last match, they won against FC Volendam at home (2-0), after previously drawing at home against Go Ahead Eagles (2-2). This is a team that maintains performance when playing away from their stadium, having recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches; compared to 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses at home. The team arrives at this match after a defeat at home against Olympiacos F.C. (1-2). In the league, Ajax has earned 14 points from 27 possible, following 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss in their last 9 matches played away. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but their attack has been consistently scoring, as they found the net in every one of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there tends to be many goals, as 8 of their last 9 competitive games ended with over 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and managed to come back only twice.

Ajax comes into this matchup with a more favorable prediction and a higher collective quality. The team is at the top of the standings and is maintaining their pursuit to close the gap with the leader. Even playing away, they enter the field as favorites. The aim is to remain consistent and continue accumulating important points. Their approach tends to be offensive but without neglecting balance. A victory could keep the team strong in the race for the top positions.

Best prediction for Excelsior vs Ajax

Ajax to win

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