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Corinthians vs Bahia Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Corinthians vs Bahia

Here you will find the best prediction for Corinthians vs Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their latest matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Corinthians and Bahia.

Corinthians logo
Corinthians

  • January 28, 2026 – 23::00
  • Brazilian Serie A

  • 2026
  • Regular season – Round 1
Bahia logo
Bahia


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Corinthians and Bahia

The best prediction for Corinthians vs Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A is a win for Corinthians. The Corinthians will likely seek greater control of the match, while Bahia tends to be organized and competitive away from home. The expectation is for a balanced game, but with a slight advantage for the home side.

Best prediction for Corinthians vs Bahia

Corinthians to win

Match prediction for Corinthians vs Bahia

The teams Corinthians and Bahia meet at the Urbano Caldeira Stadium for a match in the 1st round of the Brazilian Serie A. The direct encounters between these two teams over the past three years have been closely matched, with 2 draws and 2 victories for each team in the last 6 meetings. The last direct encounter between these two teams on August 17, 2025, ended with Bahia winning (1-2). In this match, the home advantage could play a decisive role, as Bahia has shown differences in performance in their home and away games.

Corinthians Analysis

This is the first match of this edition of the competition for the home team, which finished the last edition in 13th place. This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away, as evidenced by their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away matches; compared to 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses at home. The team enters this encounter after an away victory against Velo Clube (0-1). Corinthians has won 5, drawn 4, and lost 1 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of the last 10 games. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only managed to turn the score around once. In their last 20 home games across all competitions, there is one significant period: they scored 9 of their 25 goals between the minutes (76′-90′).

Corinthians begins the Brazilian Serie A in front of their home fans, raising expectations for a consistent performance. The team tends to adopt a well-structured game, seeking balance between defense and attack. The season opener requires total concentration, especially to avoid mistakes that could compromise the outcome. The aim is to start the championship by transmitting confidence and competitiveness.

Bahia Analysis

The visiting team makes its debut in this edition of the competition after finishing last season in 7th place. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as they have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 away matches, with a total of 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home, they achieved 13 wins and 2 losses, with 35 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match played in the State League, they won against Vitória away (0-1). In their last 10 away matches, Bahia has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 6. Their attack has been regular, managing to score in 9 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, they have only turned the score around once in the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Bahia arrives for the opening round with the intention of playing an organized game, even when acting as the away team. They should prioritize their defensive setup, trying to reduce spaces and equalize actions. The expectation is for a tactically disciplined team, looking to exploit opportunities as they arise. The match promises intensity and competition in every area of the field.

Best prediction for Corinthians vs Bahia

Corinthians to win

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