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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Here you can find the best prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad in La Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad.

Athletic Bilbao logo
Athletic Bilbao

  • February 1, 2026 – 20::00
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Matchday 22
Real Sociedad logo
Real Sociedad


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad

The best prediction for
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad in La Liga is that both teams will score. It is true that the visiting club has greater individual quality; however, Athletic Bilbao is expected to perform well as they need to respond to their inconsistent recent form. Notably, the “Both Teams to Score – Yes” market has been successful in seven of the last eight away games for Real Sociedad. Thus, an entertaining match with several goal-scoring opportunities is anticipated on both sides.

Best prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

The teams Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad face off at San Mamés Barria, in a match for matchday 22 of La Liga. Real Sociedad won at home (3-2) the last time they met in this edition of the league on November 1, 2025. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, who has five victories in the last five encounters. The last time they met at this stadium was on November 24, 2024, in a La Liga match that ended with Athletic Bilbao winning 1-0, with the only goal scored by Oihan Sancet (26′). The home advantage could play a significant role in this match, as Athletic Bilbao shows considerable differences between their home and away results.

Analysis of Athletic Bilbao

The home team is currently in 13th place with 24 points, having achieved 7 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Mallorca (3-2). In their latest match, they lost away to Sevilla (2-1). This team is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing in front of their fans, as their last 30 matches show 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses away, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded, compared to 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses at home, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. In their last match in the UEFA Champions League, they lost at home to Sporting CP (3-2). In their last 10 home league games, Athletic Bilbao has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, earning 16 points out of 30 possible. The most common halftime score in their home league matches was 0-0 (4 in 10 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, having conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring consistently, having found the net in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a tendency for fewer goals in their home league matches, as 5 of the last 10 they played ended with less than 1.5 goals. In 21 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and never managed to turn the score around. There is a highlight period in their last 10 home matches in this competition: they conceded 4 of their 11 goals between the minutes (46’-60’).

Athletic Bilbao comes into this match with a loss, 3-2, to Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League. In their last La Liga match, the hosts lost to Sevilla by 2-1. The team coached by Ernesto Valverde typically plays a tactical system of 4-3-3, favoring slower, well-planned transitions, mainly through the central corridor. Within this setup, the three players tasked with causing panic in the opposing defense are Robert Navarro, Gorka Guruzeta, and Nico Williams. When attacking, the team favors the right flank, exploiting the depth provided by the full-back Jesús Areso. Missing from this match is Íñigo Lekue, suspended, along with Iñaki Williams and Beñat Prados, both injured.

Analysis of Real Sociedad

After 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 8th place, having earned 27 points. In their last match, they won against Celta de Vigo at home (3-1), after winning against FC Barcelona in their previous match at home (2-1). This is a team that maintains performance when playing away from their stadium, as in their last 30 matches, they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors; compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses at home. Their last away match in this competition ended in a victory (1-2) against Getafe. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Real Sociedad has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, earning 10 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches, there are some frequent results: at halftime 1-0 (4 in 10 matches) and at the end of the match 1-1 (4 in 10 matches). The team has not been very strong defensively, as they have conceded goals in all of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring regularly, having found the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 21 matches in this competition, they managed to turn the score around only once in 12 matches where they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 away matches in this competition, one period stands out: they scored 4 of their 11 goals between the minutes (76’-90’).

Real Sociedad comes into this match with a victory, 3-1, against Celta de Vigo, marking their third consecutive win in this competition: the team’s goals came from Brais Méndez and Mikel Oyarzabal (2). The visiting team generally plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions, especially through the flanks. In this setup, the three forward players are Ander Barrenetxea, Gonçalo Guedes, and Mikel Oyarzabal. The brain of the team is the midfielder Brais Méndez, responsible for defining and leading the team’s attacks. Missing from this game is Duje Ćaleta-Car, suspended, along with Takefusa Kubo, who is injured.

Best prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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