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America vs Necaxa Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for América vs Necaxa

Here you will find the best prediction for América vs Necaxa in Liga MX, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between América and Necaxa.

América logo
América

  • February 1, 2026 – 03::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 4
Necaxa logo
Necaxa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between América vs Necaxa

The best prediction for América vs Necaxa in Liga MX is a win for América. The home team needs to react as they have yet to win in the competition and require points to recover. Despite having a modest performance, América has the ability to create offensive chances against a Necaxa team that shows negative balance and defensive difficulties.

Best prediction for América vs Necaxa

América to win

Match prediction for América vs Necaxa

The teams América and Necaxa play at the Estadio Azteca in a Liga MX (Clausura) match. The history of head-to-head encounters in this stadium favors the home team, which has won 3 out of the last 4 matches while losing 1. However, in the last match at this stadium for Liga MX on February 15, 2025, Necaxa won (2-3). The goals were scored by Álvaro Fidalgo (59′ and 50′) for América and by José Paradela (3′), Diber Cambindo (31′), and Kevin Rosero (90′) for Necaxa. It is essential to analyze the home/away condition carefully, as América exhibits different results at home and away.

América Analysis

After 11 victories, 6 draws, and 5 losses, the home team is in 15th place, having secured 2 points. In the last match, they drew with Pachuca away (0-0), following a loss at home to Atlético San Luis (0-2). This team is stronger when playing at home, as their last 30 matches show 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses away; against 11 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses at home. In the championship, América has gained 24 points from 30 possible, with 8 wins and 2 losses in their last 10 home games. In home matches, frequent scoring patterns at the end of the first 45 minutes are: 0-0 (4 in 10 games) and 1-0 (5 in 10 games). The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition, indicating they have not been very strong defensively. In their home games, there is a trend towards goals, as 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 22 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times but managed to turn the score around in 3 instances. In their last 10 home games in this competition, there is 1 highlighted period: they conceded 3 of their 8 goals between the minutes (46’-60’).

The América team has had a poor start to Clausura in the Mexican Championship and has yet to achieve a victory. The string of negative results increases the pressure for an immediate reaction. Playing at home, the team knows that only three points matter in this round. To achieve this, it will be essential to correct recent mistakes and present more efficient football. The resumption of the competition makes this duel even more crucial. Another stumble could worsen their delicate moment.

Necaxa Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 13th place, with 3 points gained from 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to Monterrey (0-2). In the last match, they also lost at home to Atlético (0-1). This is a team little affected by the home factor; that is, they have similar results at home and away, as their last 30 games show 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses away, with a total of 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home, they achieved 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a total of 19 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the championship, Necaxa secured 8 points out of 30 possible, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 away games. The team has not been very strong defensively, as they have conceded goals in their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring regularly, as they have managed to score in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away matches for this competition, there is a tendency for goals, as 8 out of 10 have ended with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 20 games in this competition, they managed to turn the score around only once in the 14 games in which they conceded the first goal.

The Necaxa team started the Clausura with a win but went on to lose the next two matches at home. The team is seeking recovery to avoid falling behind the top of the table. Playing away represents a greater challenge, requiring a more cautious approach. Nonetheless, the team knows how to exploit the spaces left by the opponent. Given América’s inconsistent start, they view the match as an opportunity to surprise. The balance is likely to define the showdown.

Best prediction for América vs Necaxa

América to win

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