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RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

Here you will find the best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05.

RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig

  • January 31, 2026 – 14::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Mainz 05 logo
Mainz 05


Betting tip and prediction for this match between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05

The best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga is a RB Leipzig win. The home team has stronger individual players and will have the advantage of playing at home, receiving energetic support from their fans. It’s also worth noting that Mainz 05 has several defensive issues. Therefore, it is expected that the hosts will demonstrate their superiority and secure the three points.

Best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

RB Leipzig to win

Match prediction for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

The teams RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 face off at the Red Bull Arena in a match for the 20th round of the Bundesliga. The last time these two teams met in this edition of the league was on September 13, 2025, with RB Leipzig winning away (0-1). Contrary to expectations, the recent head-to-head record favors Mainz 05, who have won 3, drawn 2, and lost 2 of their last 7 encounters.

RB Leipzig Analysis

After 11 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, the home team is in 4th place with 36 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 against St. Pauli away, following a previous win against Heidenheim (0-3) in their last game. In the last 9 home games in the league, RB Leipzig has recorded 7 wins and 2 losses, accumulating 21 points out of a possible 27. Their attack has been consistently scoring, with goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend of goals in their home games, as 9 of the last 9 matches played in this competition ended with over 1.5 goals. The team typically does not struggle to open the scoring, having netted the first goal in 16 of their last 19 Bundesliga matches, and in those 16 instances, they were leading at half-time in 8 and maintained the lead until the final whistle in 11.

RB Leipzig arrives at this match after a 1-1 draw away at St. Pauli, marking the second consecutive match without a win in the Bundesliga: their sole goal was scored by Yan Diomande. The home team usually employs a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a style of play characterized by constant transitions. In this setup, the three front players are Yan Diomande, Rômulo, and Antonio Nusa. In attack, they typically operate through the left flank, utilizing the depth provided by full-back David Raum. Key players missing from this match include Johan Bakayoko, Castello Lukeba, Viggo Gebel, and Assan Ouédraogo, all due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Péter Gulácsi, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Ridle Baku, Willi Orbán, David Raum, Christoph Baumgartner, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Antonio Nusa, Rômulo, Yan Diomande.
Coach: Z. Low.

Mainz 05 Analysis

After 3 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, the visiting team is in 16th place, with 15 points. In their last match, they won against VfL Wolfsburg at home (3-1), following a previous loss to FC Köln away (2-1). In their last 9 away games in the league, Mainz 05 has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, accumulating only 6 points from a possible 27.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 7 away games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 19 matches in this competition, they have only managed to come back from a losing position once in the 12 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Mainz 05 comes into this match on the back of a 3-1 victory against Wolfsburg, securing their second consecutive win in the Bundesliga: the team’s goals were scored by Nadiem Amiri, Stefan Bell, and Phillip Tietz. The visiting team typically sets up in a traditional 3-5-2 formation, with Benedict Hollerbach and Phillip Tietz as the two forwards. The playmaker for Mainz 05 is midfielder Jae-sung Lee, adept at vision and through passes. Key players missing from this match include Dominik Kohr, Robin Zentner, Arnaud Nordin, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Anthony Caci, Nikolas Veratschnig, and Maxim Dal, all due to fitness issues.

Confirmed lineup: Daniel Batz, Silvan Widmer, Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa, Kaishu Sano, Jae-sung Lee, Lennard Maloney, Paul Nebel, Phillip Tietz, Benedict Hollerbach.
Coach: B. Henriksen.

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