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Melgar vs Cienciano Prediction – First Division

Check out the best predictions for Melgar vs Cienciano

Here you will find the best prediction for Melgar vs Cienciano in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Melgar and Cienciano.

Melgar logo
Melgar

  • January 31, 2026 – 23::30
  • Primera Division

  • 2026
  • Apertura – Round 1
Cienciano logo
Cienciano


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Melgar and Cienciano

The best prediction for
Melgar vs Cienciano in the Primera Division is over 2.5 goals. Melgar starts the season with the obligation to establish themselves as the stronger candidate, especially while playing at home. Cienciano, on the rise, should not be intimidated and generally competes with intensity, even away from home. The expectation is for a lively game, with fast transitions and defenses exposed at various moments. Given this prediction, the most favorable reading points towards a match with more than 2.5 goals.

Best prediction for Melgar vs Cienciano

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
More than 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Melgar vs Cienciano

The teams Melgar and Cienciano face off at the Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, in a match of the Primera Division (Apertura). In this stadium, the historical head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 5 wins in the last 5 encounters. Indeed, the last time they faced each other at this venue was on October 3, 2025, in a Primera Division match that ended with Melgar winning (2-0). The goals were scored by Nicolás Quagliata (66′) and Jhonny Vidales (48′) for Melgar. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as both teams show significant differences in results when playing at home versus as visitors.

Analysis of Melgar

This is the first match for the home team in this season’s competition, which finished the previous edition in 8th position. This is a team significantly affected by home advantage, being stronger when playing in front of their fans. In the last 30 matches, they have recorded 1 win, 10 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, scoring 14 goals and conceding 20, compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, in club friendlies, they lost to Universitario away (3-1). In their last 10 home games, Melgar boasts 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their attack has been consistently scoring, netting goals in 8 of their last 10 matches. In 15 games, they have never managed to turn the score around in the 4 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Melgar begins 2026 with a sense of unfulfillment: despite their efforts, the team could not establish itself among the elite of Peru, with their best result being just the sixth place at the beginning of the Apertura. Now, with ambitions for greater heights, the team needs to translate desire into results from the first minute. The initial phase will be crucial to demonstrate that this season can be different, with more intensity and precision. Against Cienciano, the challenge is to showcase competitiveness and avoid repeating past mistakes. If they want to aim high, Melgar must start the season with attitude and consistency.

Analysis of Cienciano

This will be the first game for the visiting team in this season’s competition, after finishing the previous edition in 5th position. This is a team that is stronger when playing at home, as in their last 30 games they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at their stadium. The team arrives at this match after a home victory against Ayacucho (2-1). In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Cienciano has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 6. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been regularly scoring, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 matches. In 15 games, they have only managed 1 comeback in 7 matches in which they conceded the first goal. In their last 20 away matches across all competitions, there are 3 notable periods: they scored 60 of their 134 goals between the minutes (0’-15’) and 60 of their 134 between (16’-30’); conceded 116 of their 210 goals between the minutes (0’-15’).

Cienciano enters 2026 feeling that last year was merely a warm-up. After finishing the Apertura in 10th place, the team improved significantly in the Clausura and closed the campaign in 5th, demonstrating their potential exists. Now, with even bigger goals and ambitions to contest for trophies, the team knows they cannot afford to wait to gain momentum. Their approach needs to be aggressive from the start, with intensity and personality. And right in their debut, the challenge is against a decisive Melgar, making this match a direct test of who truly wants to be a protagonist this season.

Best prediction for Melgar vs Cienciano

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
More than 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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