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Guarani vs Ponte Preta Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Guarani vs Ponte Preta

Here you will find the best prediction for Guarani vs Ponte Preta in the Paulista Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Guarani and Ponte Preta.

Guarani logo
Guarani

  • January 31, 2026 – 19::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 6
Ponte Preta logo
Ponte Preta


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Guarani vs Ponte Preta

The best prediction for Guarani vs Ponte Preta in the Paulista Championship is a Guarani win. The Guarani enters this classic aware that it must take advantage of the opponent’s weaker moment to gain confidence in the tournament. Playing at home and showing more organization in recent matches, the team tends to take control of the game from the outset. Ponte Preta arrives under pressure, clearly struggling to respond with little offensive production. Based on this analysis, the game looks favorable for the home team, with expectations leaning towards a Guarani victory.

Best prediction for Guarani vs Ponte Preta

Guarani to win

Match prediction for Guarani vs Ponte Preta

The teams Guarani and Ponte Preta are playing at the Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa in a Paulista A1 match. In this stadium, the head-to-head history favors the home team, which has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 6 encounters. However, the last time they faced each other in this stadium was on September 6, 2025, in a Series C match that ended with Ponte Preta winning (0-1). The only goal of the match was scored by Bruno Lopes (45′).

Guarani Analysis

After 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, the home team currently sits in 11th place, with 5 points gained. In their last match, they won (0-1) away against Portuguesa, after winning (0-1) away against Velo Clube in the previous match. In their last 10 home games, Guarani has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Their attack has been scoring regularly, having converted in 4 of the last 5 matches in this competition. In home games, there is a tendency for few goals, as 9 of their last 19 matches ended with fewer than 1.5 goals, and 13 out of 19 finished with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 matches, they only managed to come back from behind in 1 of the 5 games where they conceded the first goal. There is 1 notable period in the last 19 home matches across all competitions: they scored 36 of their 55 goals between the 46th and the 60th minute.

The Guarani has not yet found its ideal rhythm in the Paulista and only secured its first win in the fourth round, indicating that the campaign so far has been marked by struggle and inconsistency. In an extremely competitive table, every point is valuable, and the team knows they cannot afford to slip up. After a draining duel against Portuguesa, the mission is now clear: regain confidence and find the consistency they still lack. The goal is to stay in the fight for qualification, aiming for a spot among the top eight. To achieve this, the match against Ponte Preta, the bottom team in the competition, presents an excellent opportunity to secure three points.

Ponte Preta Analysis

After 1 draw and 4 losses, the visiting team currently sits in 16th place, with 1 point gained. In their last match, they drew (2-2) at home against Noroeste, after losing (0-1) at home to São Bernardo in the previous match. Their last away game in this competition resulted in a loss (2-0) against Capivariano. In their last 10 away games, Ponte Preta has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 6.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 5 matches. The team has not been very strong defensively, having conceded goals in every one of their last 5 matches, and their attack needs to improve, as they failed to convert in 4 of the last 5 matches in this competition. In 15 matches, they have never managed to turn around the score in 7 games where they conceded the first goal. In their last 16 away matches across all competitions, a notable period stands out: they scored 5 of their 13 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Ponte Preta is experiencing a delicate moment in the Paulistão, with concerning numbers and an increasing gap from the qualification zone. The team has shown little reaction on the field, and the lack of energy has been a warning sign for the coaching staff. Without a victory in the competition yet, the pressure mounts round after round, creating a heavier atmosphere. Now, away from home, the challenge will be even greater against a determined Guarani keen to regain their path. For the visitors, this match is more than just another game: it is a chance to breathe and prove that they still have the drive to rebound.

Best prediction for Guarani vs Ponte Preta

Guarani to win

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