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Wellington vs Mel Victory Prediction – A-League

Check out the best predictions for Wellington vs Mel Victory

Here you will find the best prediction for Wellington vs Mel Victory in the A-League, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from previous matches, to provide the best prediction for the encounter between Wellington vs Mel Victory.

Wellington soon
Wellington

Mel Victory soon
Mel Victory


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Wellington vs Mel Victory

The best prediction for Wellington vs Mel Victory in the A-League is that both teams will score. The Wellington Phoenix have shown improvement in recent fixtures, often involved in matches where both sides find the net. They have scored and conceded in their last four games, and if they maintain this momentum, particularly playing at home, the “both teams to score” market looks enticing, especially as Mel Victory has been strong offensively, scoring in 80% of their recent away matches.

The best prediction for Wellington vs Mel Victory

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

Match preview: Wellington vs Mel Victory

Wellington and Mel Victory meet at Westpac Stadium for their 26th A-League round. The last encounter saw Melbourne Victory triumph with a narrow (1-0) victory at home on 14-02-2025. Historically, matches between these two sides at this venue have been competitive, with two draws and one win apiece in their last four fixtures. In fact, in the last league meeting here on 18-05-2024, Melbourne only edged out a (1-2) win after extra time. The goals came from Oskar Zawada (90′) for Wellington and Chris Ikonomidis (102′) and A. Traoré (82′) for Mel Victory. The home/away records are particularly noteworthy, as despite this clash featuring 11th against 5th in overall standings, it reflects a contest between the 8th placed team in home games versus the 11th in away matches.

Team analysis: Wellington

The home side is currently situated in 11th place, having accumulated 24 points from 6 victories, 6 draws, and 10 defeats. They recently drew at home against the Western Sydney Wanderers (2-2) and won away against Newcastle Jets (1-2). This team often performs better away, accumulating 13 points on the road with 14 goals scored and 22 conceded, compared to just 11 points at home where they have scored 9 goals and conceded 12. Over the last 10 home matches, they have secured only 10 points from a possible 30, with no victories in their last six home fixtures. The most common scoreline at half-time has been 0-0 in 6 out of their 11 home games. Defensively, they have allowed goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of solidity at the back, although their attack remains consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 competitive fixtures. Their home games generally see few goals, as 7 of the last 11 have finished with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 22 games this season, they have failed to reverse the scoreline in any of the 11 matches in which they have conceded first.

Recently, Wellington Phoenix have shown signs of improvement, particularly in their last three matches, which yielded 2 draws and a victory. These fixtures have been quite challenging. First, they drew 1-1 at Sydney Stadium, followed by another draw, but this time with two goals against the 4th-placed Western Wanderers. Their most recent outing saw them triumph at the Newcastle Jets, who, despite not being as formidable as their last two opponents, had been performing well at home. They now face Mel Victory, currently in 5th place, which promises yet another tough challenge and a true test of whether Wellington Phoenix can sustain their upward trend in results as the season draws to a close.

Team analysis: Mel Victory

With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team sits in 5th place with 36 points. In their last match, they achieved a solid home win against Adelaide United (5-3), after a disappointing away defeat (4-2) against the Western Sydney Wanderers. This team has been heavily influenced by home advantage, gaining 24 points at their ground and only 12 as visitors, with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded at home, contrasting with 13 scored and 17 conceded away. In their last 10 away matches for the league, Mel Victory has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, securing just 11 points from a possible 30. Notably, the most common result at half-time in their fixtures has also been 0-0, seen in 5 out of their 11 away games. Their attack has been relatively dependable, scoring in 9 of their last 10 league matches. In 22 games, they have conceded the first goal on 8 occasions, managing to come back to win only twice. A pivotal aspect of their recent performance is their vulnerability late in matches, having conceded 8 of their 17 away goals in the last 11 matches during the closing minutes (76′-90′).

Mel Victory aim to maintain their position within the top 6, thereby securing a spot in the finals. This team, under the guidance of A. Diles, has proven to be a stable unit, losing infrequently yet occasionally dropping points unexpectedly. One striking example was their draw against Brisbane Roar (1-1) at their stadium. The recent away defeat to Western Sydney Wanderers was likewise surprising, especially given their prior statistics. However, following their impressive home victory over Adelaide United, confidence levels will be high ahead of their trip to face Wellington Phoenix.

Best guesses for this match

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (predicted for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

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