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Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional

Here you will find the best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional in the Premier League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key match statistics to provide the best prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães and Nacional.

Vitória de Guimarães logo
Vitória de Guimarães

  • January 2, 2026 – 20::45
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 17
Nacional logo
Nacional


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional

The best prediction for
Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional in the Premier League is that both teams will score. Given the recent performance of Nacional, particularly as the visiting team, combined with the struggles that Vitória SC has been experiencing, this match is primed for goals. The team led by Luís Pinto will have to go all out for the three points, but on the opposing side, there is a squad that thrives in counter-attacks. Nacional is likely to capitalize on this, making it reasonable to expect that both teams will find the back of the net.

Best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional

More than 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional

The teams Vitória de Guimarães and Nacional face off at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in a match of the 17th round of the Premier League. These teams have met only twice recently: on May 3, 2025, Vitória SC won (1-2), and on December 23, 2024, they ended in a draw (2-2). Home advantage may play a crucial role, as both teams show significant disparities in their home and away results.

Analysis of Vitória de Guimarães

Currently ranked 7th, the home team has gathered 22 points from 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses. Their penultimate match saw them lose at home to Sporting CP (1-4). In their most recent match, they drew against Casa Pia (0-0) away. Interestingly, this team has had better results away than at home, with the last 30 matches showing 8 victories, 2 draws, and 5 losses away, scoring 15 goals and conceding 16, compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses at home, with 24 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last 8 home league games, Vitória de Guimarães has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, earning 12 points out of a possible 24. The most common halftime score at home has been 1-1 (3 out of 8 games). In 16 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and have managed to come back to win only twice.

After suffering a heavy defeat against Sporting, Vitória SC managed to secure a point against Casa Pia, demonstrating improved defensive form without conceding a single goal. Coach Luís Pinto and his players seem to have addressed their earlier mistakes, particularly issues regarding individual player concentration. With 22 points in 7th place, they are still 5 points behind the 4th position they aspire to reach. This match against Nacional is crucial; a win is essential to maintain the positive momentum that they had built prior to the Sporting game.
 

Analysis of Nacional

With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, the visiting team currently stands in 13th place with 16 points. In their last match, they drew against AVS (2-2) away, following a home victory against Tondela (3-1). This team also showcases better results away than at home, with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away games, scoring a total of 15 goals and conceding 20. At home, they have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a total of 21 goals scored and 29 conceded. In their last 8 away league games, Nacional has managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, amassing 10 points out of 24 possible.

They have not managed a win as visitors in the last 4 matches. When playing away, the most common results are 0-1 at halftime (3 out of 7 games) and 1-1 at full time (3 out of 7 games). Their defensive solidity has been lacking, having conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games. However, their attack has been consistently finding the back of the net, scoring in 8 out of their last 10 league matches. There tends to be fewer goals in their away games, as 7 of the last 8 they played featured under 3 goals. In 15 matches this season, they have managed to come back to win only 2 times after conceding the first goal.

Nacional remains a very inconsistent team, but they have shown improvement in their last two matches, collecting 4 points from a possible 6. These two recent games featured plenty of goals, the first ending in a (3-1) victory, while the second resulted in a 2-2 draw at AFS Stadium. Despite some struggles, they have been more dangerous away from home, having lost only 2 matches on their travels. In their last 5 away fixtures, they found the net in 4 matches, even against teams like Estoril and Sporting Braga.

Best prediction for Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional

More than 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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