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Villarreal vs Alavés Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Villarreal vs Alavés

Here you will find the best prediction for Villarreal vs Alavés in La Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Villarreal and Alavés.

Villarreal logo
Villarreal

  • January 10, 2026 – 15::15
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Matchday 19
Alavés logo
Alavés


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Villarreal vs Alavés

The best prediction for Villarreal vs Alavés in La Liga is a Villarreal win. The home team has the advantage of playing in front of their supporters and is currently in strong form, displaying notable offensive effectiveness. It’s important to note that Villarreal has won seven of their last nine matches played at home, while Alavés has only claimed victory in one of their last eight away games. Therefore, it is expected that the home team will confirm their favoritism and secure the win.

Best prediction for Villarreal vs Alavés

Villarreal to win

Match prediction for Villarreal vs Alavés

The teams Villarreal and Alavés play at Estadio de la Cerámica in a match for Matchday 19 of La Liga. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 2 out of the last 3 encounters here and drawn 1. In fact, in the last confrontation at this stadium, for La Liga, on November 9, 2024, Villarreal won (3-0). The goals were scored by Dani Parejo (81′), Ilias Akhomach (38′), and Santi Comesaña (90′). In this match, the home advantage could be decisive, as Alavés has shown inconsistent performance both at home and as visitors.

Analysis of Villarreal

The home team is currently in 4th place, having secured 38 points from 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to FC Barcelona (0-2), and in their last match, they won away against Elche (1-3). This team is not significantly affected by the home advantage, as their results are similar at home and away; in the last 30 matches, they have 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 24 goals and conceding 20, compared to 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the league, Villarreal has earned 22 points out of 27 possible in their last 9 home matches, recording 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The attack has been consistently scoring, achieving goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend for high-scoring games at home, as 8 of their last 9 matches in this competition have ended with more than 1.5 goals. They typically don’t face difficulties in opening the scoring, having scored first in 13 of their last 17 La Liga matches, with 10 of those leading at halftime and 11 maintaining their lead until the final whistle. In 17 matches in this competition, they have only achieved one comeback in the 4 matches where they conceded the first goal.

The Villarreal team goes into this match after a 1-3 victory against Elche, marking the fourth win in their last five matches in La Liga. The goals for the team were scored by Alfonso Pedraza, Georges Mikautadze, and Alberto Moleiro. The team, led by Marcelino Toral, usually operates in a 4-4-2 formation, where the two forwards are Ayoze Pérez and Georges Mikautadze. Typically, they attack primarily through the right flank, utilizing the depth provided by full-back Santiago Mouriño. Missing this game are Thomas Partey, Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Pau Cabanes, and Juan Foyth due to injuries, along with Pape Gueye and Ilias Akhomach, who are participating in the CAN.

Analysis of Alavés

After 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, the visiting team is in 13th place, having gathered 19 points. In their last match, they drew with Real Oviedo at home (1-1), following a previous match where they lost away to Osasuna (3-0). They are a stronger team when playing at home, as in their last 30 matches, they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses at home. In the league, Alavés has earned only 4 points out of 24 possible, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 8 away games.

For this competition, they have a streak of 5 losses in their recent away matches and have not won any of their last 6 games outside their stadium. Common results in their away matches include 0-0 at halftime (4 out of 8 matches) and 1-0 (3 out of 8 matches), with final scores also tending towards 1-0 (4 out of 8 matches). Their defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition. Games away from home tend to have few goals, with 6 of their last 8 matches in the competition ending with less than 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they have never managed to turn around the score in the 11 games where they conceded the first goal.

Deportivo Alavés enters this match after a 1-1 draw against Real Oviedo, marking their third consecutive match without victory in La Liga. The team’s only goal was scored by Lucas Boyé. The squad, managed by Eduardo Coudet, typically aligns in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a compact and organized approach, seeking to exploit quick transitions to surprise the opponent. Key players in the attack include Carlos Vicente, Lucas Boyé, and Abderrahman Rebbach, who are essential in creating scoring opportunities. In midfield, Denis Suárez is responsible for grounding the team, ensuring defensive solidity and quality in the ball’s progression. Carlos Benavídez is unavailable for this game due to suspension.

Best prediction for Villarreal vs Alavés

Villarreal to win

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