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Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction – King’s Cup

Check out the best predictions for Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Here you will find the best prediction for Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao.

Valencia logo
Valencia

  • February 4, 2026 – 20::00
  • Copa del Rey

  • 2025/2026
  • Quarterfinals
Athletic Bilbao logo
Athletic Bilbao


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

The best prediction for
Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey is that both teams will score. This match is likely to be dominated by Valencia; however, Athletic Bilbao has been delivering exciting football, creating scoring opportunities with ease. Thus, an open match with several goal chances on both sides is expected.

Match prediction for Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

The teams Valencia and Athletic Bilbao meet at the Estadio de Mestalla for a Copa del Rey (Quarterfinals) encounter. The history of head-to-head matches played in this stadium favors the home team, as in the last 6 matches, they have won 3, drawn 1, and lost 2. In fact, the last confrontation at this stadium for La Liga on September 20, 2025, saw Valencia win (2-0). The goals for Valencia were scored by Baptiste Santamaria (73′) and Hugo Duro (90′). In this match, the home advantage could play a decisive role, as Athletic Bilbao has shown significant differences in performance between home and away games.

Analysis of Valencia

The home team reaches this stage of the Copa del Rey (Quarterfinals) after an away victory (0-2) against Burgos. This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away, as in the last 30 games, they have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses at home. The team arrives at this match after a defeat away against Real Betis (2-1). Valencia has won 4, drawn 4, and lost 2 of their last 10 home games across all competitions.

In this competition, they haven’t lost in 4 matches. The defense has been performing well, having conceded goals in only 1 of the last 4 games, while their attack has been consistently scoring, with at least one goal in the last 4 games of this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times, managing just 1 comeback.

Valencia comes into this match after a 2-1 defeat on their visit to Real Betis’ stadium in a La Liga match: the only goal for the team was scored by Luis Rioja. It’s worth mentioning that the hosts have reached this stage of the Copa del Rey after eliminating Burgos in the previous match. The Valencia team typically plays in a 4-4-2 formation, favoring a direct and fast playing style. In attack, the duo of Hugo Duro and Lucas Beltrán will aim to disrupt the opposing defense, particularly focusing on attacking down the left flank, where full-back Dimitri Foulquier often poses a threat by providing depth and offensive support. Missing this game are Thierry Correia and Julen Agirrezabala, both with physical issues.

Analysis of Athletic Bilbao

The visiting team reaches this stage of the Copa del Rey (Quarterfinals) after eliminating Cultural Leonesa with a victory (3-4) after extra time in the previous round. This team is affected by home advantage, being stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as in the last 30 games, they recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, with a total of 15 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home, they secured 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. The team arrives at this match after a home draw against Real Sociedad (1-1). In their last 10 away games across all competitions, Athletic Bilbao has won 4, drawn 2, and lost 4. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 games, but their offense has been consistently scoring, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 matches. Of the 15 matches, they have managed just 2 comebacks in the 8 games where they conceded the first goal.

Athletic Bilbao comes into this match after a 1-1 draw against Real Sociedad in a La Liga match. It’s worth noting that the visitors have reached this stage of the Copa del Rey after eliminating Cultural Leonesa in the previous phase. The team coached by Ernesto Valverde is expected to adopt a 4-3-3 formation, betting on a compact block and quick transitions to surprise the opponent. In the forward line, Robert Navarro, Iñaki Williams, and Gorka Guruzeta form the attacking trio, with moves especially expected down the right flank, where full-back Andoni Gorosabel usually provides depth and creates imbalances. Missing from this game is Aitor Paredes, who is suspended, as well as Nico Williams, Daniel Vivian, Oihan Sancet, Maroan Sannadi, and Beñat Prados, who are all injured.

Best prediction for Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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