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Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

Here you will find the best prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Below, read our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent track record and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund.

Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin

  • January 24, 2026 – 17::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Borussia Dortmund logo
Borussia Dortmund


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund

The best prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga is that both teams will score. Although Borussia Dortmund is expected to dominate the game, recent statistics from both teams indicate an open match with opportunities for both sides. It is worth noting that the last four encounters between these teams under these circumstances have ended with goals from both sides. Given these factors, betting on “Both teams to score – Yes” in this match is a solid option.

Best prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier suggestion)

Do both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

The teams Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund will clash at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in a match for the 19th round of the Bundesliga. The last time these teams met in this league edition, Borussia Dortmund won at home by (3-0) on August 31, 2025. At this stadium, the record of direct confrontations shows balance between these two teams, as there were 2 victories for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time they faced each other at this stadium was on October 5, 2024, in a Bundesliga match that ended with a 2-1 victory for FC Union Berlin. The goals in that match were scored by Kevin Vogt (26′) and Yorbe Vertessen (45′) for Union Berlin and Julian Ryerson (62′) for Borussia Dortmund. In this match, the home factor could play a significant role, as Union Berlin shows significant differences in their results at home versus away.

Union Berlin Analysis

After 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, the home team is in 9th place, having accumulated 24 points. In their last match, they drew with VfB Stuttgart away (1-1) after previously drawing away against FC Augsburg (1-1) as well. This team interestingly has produced better results away than at home, as in their last 30 matches they recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, scoring 33 goals and conceding 17, compared to 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. In the league, Union Berlin has earned 13 points out of 27 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last 9 home games. The team has allowed goals by their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, showing a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 7 out of 9 ended with over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 18 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and have never managed to turn the game around.

Union Berlin comes into this match after a draw, 1-1, in their trip to Stuttgart, marking their third consecutive draw in this Bundesliga season: the only goal was scored by Woo-Yeong Jeong. The team, coached by Steffen Baumgart, typically plays in a 3-5-2 tactical system, where the two players in the forward line are Livan Burcu and Andrej Ilić. When they go on the offensive, they often try to channel their attack down the right side, making it easier to exploit the depth offered by full-back Janik Haberer. Derrick Köhn is out for this match due to suspension, alongside Robert Skov, Tim Skarke, Tom Rothe, and Dmytro Bogdanov, who are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Frederik Rönnow, Josip Juranovic, Leopold Querfeld, Danilho Doekhi, Diogo Leite, Aljoscha Kemlein, András Schäfer, Janik Haberer, Rani Khedira, Livan Burcu, Andrej Ilić.
Coach: S. Baumgart.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 2nd place with 39 points, after 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss. In their second to last match, they won at home against Werder Bremen (3-0). In their last match, they also won at home against St. Pauli (3-2). This team maintains its performance even when playing away, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, compared to 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home. They come into this match after a defeat away to Tottenham Hotspur (2-0). In the championship, Borussia Dortmund earned 16 points out of 27 possible in their last 9 away games, achieving 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 5 away games. The most common halftime score in their league away matches has been 0-1 (4 out of 9 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, netting at least one goal in their last 10 matches in this competition. This is a team that typically has no trouble taking the lead: they scored the first goal in 16 of their last 18 Bundesliga matches, of which they took a halftime lead in 13 and were able to maintain their advantage until the end of the 90 minutes in 11. There are notable trends in their last 20 away matches across all competitions: they conceded 13 of their 33 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Borussia Dortmund comes into this challenge after a 2-0 defeat away at Tottenham in a Champions League match. In their last Bundesliga match, the visitors defeated St. Pauli 3-2. The visiting team typically plays in a 3-4-3 formation, favoring a slower style of play, generally attacking through the central corridor. The forward trio targeting the opponent’s goal will be Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, and Serhou Guirassy, while midfielder Felix Nmecha is responsible for guiding and orchestrating the team’s attacks. Marcel Sabitzer is out for this match due to physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Gregor Kobel, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Daniel Svensson, Julian Ryerson, Waldemar Anton, Felix Nmecha, Julian Brandt, Jobe Bellingham, Karim Adeyemi, Fábio Silva.
Coach: N. Kovač.

Best prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier suggestion)

Do both teams score? Yes

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