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Toulouse vs Nice Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Toulouse vs Nice

Here you will find the best prediction for Toulouse vs Nice in Ligue 1, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including their recent performance and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Toulouse and Nice.

Toulouse logo
Toulouse

  • January 17, 2026 – 18::00
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Nice logo
Nice


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Toulouse vs Nice

The best prediction for the Toulouse vs Nice match in Ligue 1 is that both teams will score. It is expected that Toulouse will control the game; however, Nice has been delivering entertaining football, creating chances effortlessly. Notably, three of the last four encounters between these teams ended with “Both Teams to Score – Yes” as the outcome. Hence, an open match with several goal-scoring opportunities is anticipated.

Best prediction for Toulouse vs Nice

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Toulouse vs Nice

The teams Toulouse and Nice will compete at the Stadium de Toulouse in a match of the 18th round of Ligue 1. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on August 16, 2025, Toulouse won away by (0-1). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, as in the last 3 matches, they have won 1 and drawn 2. However, in the latest clash at this stadium, in Ligue 1 on February 2, 2025, the game ended in a draw (1-1). The goals of the match were scored by Mark McKenzie (85’) for Toulouse and Gaëtan Laborde (18’) for Nice. Close attention is needed for the home/away condition, as both teams have shown significantly different results in their home and away games.

Toulouse Analysis

After 6 victories, 5 draws, and 6 losses, the home team is in 8th place with 23 points. In their last match, they lost to Lens at home (0-3), following an earlier away win against Paris (0-3). This team interestingly performs better away than at home, as in their last 30 matches, they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 19 goals and conceding 18, compared to 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses at home, with 20 goals scored and 21 conceded. In their latest match for the Coupe de France, they triumphed over Angers SCO away (5-6) in a penalty shootout. In their last 9 home games in the league, Toulouse has registered 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, earning 12 points from 27 possible. In their home league matches, the most frequent halftime score was 0-0 (4 out of 9 games). In 17 matches in this competition, they’ve conceded the first goal 9 times and managed only 1 comeback. Of the last 20 home matches in all competitions, they scored 10 of their 24 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

The Toulouse team enters this match following a victory on penalties against Angers in a game valid for the Coupe de France. In their last Ligue 1 match, the hosts lost to Lens 0-3. Based on a 3-4-3 tactical system, the home side emphasizes direct and fast football, looking to exploit the quick movements of their front players. In this regard, the attacking trio of Rafik Messali, Santiago Hidalgo, and Yann Gboho often stand out, taking center stage in the final third. For this match, coach Carles Martínez will be without Emersonn due to suspension, as well as injured players Djibril Sidibé, Abu Francis, Ilyas Azizi, Dayann Methalie, and Rasmus Nicolaisen.

Nice Analysis

After 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, the away team sits in 14th place with 18 points. In their last match, they drew with Strasbourg at home (1-1), following a previous away loss to Lens (2-0). This team is notably stronger at home, as their last 30 matches show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses as visitors, compared to 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses at their home ground. In their last match for the Coupe de France, they achieved a victory over Nantes away (3-5) in a penalty shootout. Over their last 8 away league matches, Nice has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, earning just 4 points from 24 possible.

In this competition, they have lost the last 4 games as visitors. The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 outings, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has consistently scored, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games for this tournament, there is a trend of goals, with 6 out of 8 matches ending with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and have never managed to turn the score around.

The Nice team is coming into this match following a victory on penalties against Nantes in a game valid for the Coupe de France. In their latest match in Ligue 1, the visitors drew 1-1 against Strasbourg. The away team usually operates with a 4-3-3 tactical system, emphasizing patient build-up play and ball circulation. In the more advanced positions, the responsibility to trouble the opposing defense falls on the trio of Sofiane Diop, Elye Wahi, and Tom Louchet. Additionally, consistency has been demonstrated down the right flank, where Nice often launches their main attacks. Missing from this game will be Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, Moïse Bombito, and Dante, all sidelined by injury.

Best prediction for this match

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Both teams score? Yes

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