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Tondela vs Braga Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Tondela vs Braga

Here you will find the best prediction for Tondela vs Braga in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Tondela vs Braga.

Tondela logo
Tondela

  • January 18, 2026 – 18::00
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Braga logo
Braga


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Tondela vs Braga

The best prediction for Tondela vs Braga in the Primeira Liga is a Braga win. Given the differences in strength between both teams, Braga is expected to be the favorite. They not only have the advantage in quality, but they also need to respond after their humiliating defeat against Fafe. While Tondela had a victory in their last home match, it is not sufficient to mask the serious challenges they have faced, even after hiring a new coach.

Best prediction for Tondela vs Braga

Braga to win

Match prediction for Tondela vs Braga

The teams Tondela and Braga will play at Estádio João Cardoso in a match for the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on August 10, 2025, Sporting Braga triumphed at home with a score of 3-0. The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, who has won both of the last two matches. The home advantage could play a significant role, as Tondela has shown substantial differences in their performance at home compared to away games.

Tondela Analysis

After 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, the home team is currently in 17th position with 12 points. In their last match, they lost against Moreirense away (1-0), following a home victory against Arouca (3-1) in the previous match. Oddly enough, this team has performed better away than at home, showing 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 24, compared to 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at home, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the league, Tondela has earned 5 points from a possible 24, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their past 8 home games. Most frequently, the final score at half-time in their home matches has been 0-0, seen in 5 of their 8 games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, conceding goals in 9 of their last 10 leagues matches. In 17 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and managed only 1 comeback.

Tondela will attempt to leverage their home advantage at Estádio João Cardoso this Sunday to escape the relegation zone. They face Sporting Braga, who is likely to present a lot of challenges. With only 12 points, Tondela occupies 17th and second-to-last position. However, they are only 2 points away from Casa Pia and the last secure spot in this Liga Portugal. Their last home game should serve as motivation, as they defeated Arouca (3-1). However, in their last two meetings against Braga at home, they were defeated, first by (0-4) and then in the most recent match by (0-1).

Braga Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 5th place, having earned 27 points from 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew at home against Benfica (2-2). In the last match, they also drew away against Estrela Amadora (3-3). This team maintains solid performances while playing away, registering 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 away matches; compared to 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last game for the Taça de Portugal, they suffered a loss to Fafe (2-1). In their last 9 away matches for the league, Braga has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, accumulating 13 points out of 27 possible. Defensive solidity has not been their strength, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, yet their attack has been consistently scoring, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 league matches. There is a trend for goals in their away games, with 8 of their last 9 matches in this competition ending with over 1.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never managed to turn the game around.

Sporting Braga has proven that right after the three big clubs, they are the best team in this league. This has been the case for the past several years, making their 5th position somewhat surprising. However, credit must be given to a “super Gil Vicente,” who stubbornly remains in 4th place. The last three games have not been great for the “Warriors of Minho,” as they lost their last two matches in both the Taça da Liga and the Taça de Portugal. The last encounter was at Fafe’s stadium, and the defeat cost them an early elimination from the Taça de Portugal, which was a major expectation for Sporting Braga.

Best prediction for Tondela vs Braga

Braga to win

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