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Tondela vs Benfica Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Tondela vs Benfica

Here you will find the best prediction for Tondela vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Tondela and Benfica.

Tondela logo
Tondela

  • February 1, 2026 – 20::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Benfica logo
Benfica


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Tondela vs Benfica

The best prediction for Tondela vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga is a Benfica win with a handicap of -1. The influence of José Mourinho can be seen in this Benfica team, as their game dynamics are becoming increasingly refined, and they show brilliant moments in attack. The synergy among the players has improved significantly, allowing the team to score with fewer opportunities. Benfica has been incredibly efficient and could replicate their previous impressive performance against Vila do Conde. Thus, the European handicap of (-1) could be surpassed by the Eagles.

Best prediction for Tondela vs Benfica

Benfica Handicap -1

Match prediction for Tondela vs Benfica

The teams Tondela and Benfica clash at the João Cardoso Stadium in a match for the 20th round of the Primeira Liga. Benfica secured a home victory (3-0) the last time these two teams faced each other in this league edition on August 23, 2025. Recent head-to-head records favor the visiting team, as they have won all of their last three confrontations. The latest match between these two sides, on October 29, 2025, ended with Benfica winning (3-0). Special attention must be paid to home/away conditions, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Tondela Analysis

The home team currently stands in 17th place with 12 points, after 3 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Sporting Braga (0-1). In the last match, they were defeated away by Famalicão (3-0). Interestingly, this team tends to perform better away than at home, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses recorded in their last 30 away matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding 26, compared to 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses at home, with 13 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the league, Tondela has earned 5 points from 27 available, managing 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 9 home matches. The most frequent halftime score at home has been 0-0 (6 out of 9 games). They have conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 games they have played in this competition, indicating they have not been strong defensively. Their home matches often see fewer goals, as 4 of their last 9 competitive games ended with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 19 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 13 times and have only managed 1 comeback in scoring.

Tondela continues to accumulate losses, and their latest encounter in Famalicão resulted in their 3rd consecutive defeat, and a heavy one at that, losing 3-0. The recent change in coaching has not yielded the desired results, and with 12 points, the team under C. Bacci is now 5 points behind Arouca, the last team in a safe position. At this moment, considering the team’s dismal form, it doesn’t matter who the opponent is; securing points has become urgent, and they will strive to achieve that against José Mourinho’s Eagles. This will be a daunting task on all levels, especially considering the significant improvement of the Lisbon team.

Benfica Analysis

After 13 wins and 6 draws, the visiting team is in 3rd place with 45 points. In their last match, they defeated Estrela Amadora at home (4-0), following an away victory against Rio Ave (0-2). Interestingly, this team has been stronger away than at home, with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 away matches; compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home. The team comes into this match after a home victory over Real Madrid (4-2).

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of their last 9 away matches. In their away league matches, the most common halftime score has been 0-0 (4 out of 9 matches). Their attack has been consistent, scoring at least once in each of the last 10 matches in this competition. This is a team that generally finds it easy to score first: they netted the first goal in 15 of their last 19 Primeira Liga games, and of those 15 matches, they led at halftime in 10 and maintained the lead until the end of 90 minutes in 11.

Benfica was one of the teams that elevated the name of Portugal high during the Champions League last week. Against all odds, José Mourinho’s team ensured they remain in the Champions League by heroically defeating Real Madrid (4-2). A thrilling finish ensued, with Trubin as the unlikely hero, scoring the goal that clinched them a spot in the playoffs right at the last moment. However, that is now in the past, and the focus must shift back to Liga Portugal, where they need to have a perfect second half to keep their hopes alive for the title. With 45 points, 3 behind Sporting and 10 behind FC Porto, the Eagles must win in Tondela.

Best prediction for Tondela vs Benfica

Benfica Handicap -1

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