➡️ What is the recommended bet for Tondela Arouca?

The prediction and suggested bet for Tondela vs Arouca, on January 3, 2026, is: Double chance, Draw or Arouca ⇒ bet available at Bet365.

➡️ At which stadium will Tondela Arouca be played?

The Tondela vs Arouca match on January 3, 2026, will be held in Tondela, Estádio João Cardoso.

Football preview

Tondela vs Arouca Prediction – Premier League

January 3, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Tondela vs Arouca

Here you will find the best prediction for Tondela vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Tondela and Arouca.

Tondela

January 3, 2026 – 15::30
Primeira Liga
2025/2026
Regular Season – Round 17

Arouca

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Tondela and Arouca

The best prediction for
Tondela vs Arouca in the Primeira Liga is a double chance for a draw or Arouca. Tondela enters this match under significant pressure. They have been struggling to secure results, and their recent home defeat could have left a mark, especially after initially leading the match but allowing a turnaround. C. Bacci is a coach who emphasizes defensive solidity, but this has not been enough recently. On the other hand, Arouca could take advantage of Tondela’s tough situation to capitalize on their recent good form, making them likely to earn points in Tondela.

Match prediction for Tondela vs Arouca

The teams Tondela and Arouca will meet at Estádio João Cardoso in a clash of the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. There has only been one direct meeting in the last three years between these teams, on March 19, 2022, which ended in a 2-2 draw. In this match, the home factor could play a significant role, as Tondela shows considerable differences in results achieved at home compared to away.

Analysis of Tondela

After 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, the home team is currently in 17th place, having secured 9 points. In their last match, they lost to Casa Pia at home (1-2), following a previous away defeat against Nacional (1-3). Interestingly, this is a team that has been stronger away than at home, with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away matches, compared to 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at their home ground. In their last 7 home games in the league, Tondela has recorded 2 draws and 5 losses, gaining only 2 points from 21 available.

In this competition, they have a streak of 4 consecutive losses in their last home games and have not won any of their last 7 matches at home. The most frequent halftime score in their home league matches has been 0-0 (in 5 of 7 games). The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition, indicating they have not been very strong defensively. In 15 matches in the competition, they have never managed to turn around the score in the 9 games where they conceded the first goal. There are 1 highlighted periods in their last 18 home games across all competitions: they scored 6 of their 15 goals in the minutes (76’-90′).

The Tondela team has now recorded their 3rd consecutive loss under C. Bacci as the new manager. The results are not showing, despite changes in management. This highlights the significant difficulties this club is facing in the current season. While the first two losses could be somewhat excusable against FC Porto and Nacional at their stadium, the home defeat to Casa Pia is hard to digest for Tondela supporters. Consequently, the team remains with 9 points, 5 behind Casa Pia, the last team in a safe zone.

Analysis of Arouca

The visiting team is currently in 16th place, with 14 points gathered after 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away against Santa Clara (0-0). In their last match, they drew at home against Gil Vicente (2-2). This is a team minimally affected by the home factor, showing similar results at home and away, with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring a total of 17 goals and conceding 32. At home, they managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 25. In their last 7 away games in the league, Arouca has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, securing only 5 points from 21 available.

As for this competition, they have not won as visitors in their last 4 matches. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition, suggesting they have not been particularly strong defensively. In the 16 matches in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score once in the 9 matches where they conceded the first goal.

The Arouca team is currently on a 3-match unbeaten streak. After their victory over Alverca (1-0), this team led by Vasco Seabra registered 2 consecutive draws, first at Santa Clara (0-0) and in their last match at home against Gil Vicente (2-2). With 14 points, they are tied with Casa Pia and therefore could move above the relegation zone by achieving a better result than Casa Pia.