Toluca vs Pumas Prediction – Liga MX
Check out the best predictions for Toluca vs Pumas
Here you will find the top prediction for Toluca vs Pumas in the MX League, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for a detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics to provide the best prediction for the Toluca vs Pumas match.
 Toluca |
|  Pumas |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Toluca and Pumas
The best prediction for Toluca vs Pumas
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Do both teams score? Yes
Match preview: Toluca vs Pumas
Toluca and Pumas face off at Estádio Nemesio Diez in the 5th round of the MX League. The history of previous matches at this venue favours the home side, with Toluca having won 3, drawn 2, and lost 1 of their last 6 encounters. However, in their previous meeting here on 6th June 2024, the match ended in a draw at 1–1, with goals from Paulinho (24’) for Toluca and Cesar Huerta (1’) for Pumas.
Team analysis: Toluca
The home team is currently in 4th place, having accumulated 6 points from 3 victories and 1 defeat. In their penultimate match, they suffered a loss to Tigres UANL (3–4) at home, but bounced back with a 2–0 win against Juárez. Over the last 10 home games across all competitions, Toluca has achieved 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. However, defensively, they have allowed goals in 3 of their last 4 encounters, indicating issues with solidity at the back. On the offensive end, they have scored in each of their last 4 games in this competition. At home, they have a tendency for high-scoring matches, with 16 of the last 21 resulting in over 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they’ve managed to overturn the score in 3 of the 5 instances when conceding the first goal.
Having started the Mexican championship strongly, Toluca has recorded three wins against a single defeat, keeping them near the top of the standings. The attacking unit is functioning well, creating plenty of chances and converting them, but improvements are needed defensively to avoid giving away unnecessary goals. Playing at home, Toluca should aim to dominate the pace of the match, looking to secure all three points while maintaining their positive momentum.
Team analysis: Pumas
The visiting team is currently positioned 11th, having garnered 4 points from 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They secured a victory against Querétaro (2–0) in their penultimate match but followed that with a disappointing 1–1 draw at home to Necaxa. In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Pumas has achieved 4 victories, 2 draws, and 4 defeats. Defensively, they have allowed goals in 3 of their last 4 matches, showing a lack of solidity at the back, yet their attack has been reasonably productive, scoring in 3 of their last 4 games. Notably, in 15 games, they conceded first in 8, managing to turn the score around only once.
Pumas is currently going through a challenging period, accumulating only four points and struggling to find their best form. They must overcome this phase to avoid deeper complications in the standings. When playing away, they should adopt a more balanced approach, prioritising defensive organisation while looking to capitalise on counter-attacks. Reducing errors and capturing crucial points will be essential for building confidence and sparking a positive turnaround in their campaign.
The best prediction for Toluca vs Pumas
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Do both teams score? Yes
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