👉 What is the recommended bet for Toluca vs Necaxa?

The prediction and suggested bet for Toluca vs Necaxa on 12 July 2025 is: Toluca to win.

👉 Where will Toluca vs Necaxa be played?

The Toluca vs Necaxa match on 12 July 2025 will be held at Estadio Nemesio Diez in Toluca.

Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction – Liga MX

July 9, 2025[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Toluca vs Necaxa

Here you find the best prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa for the MX League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Toluca vs Necaxa.

Toluca

12 July 2025 – 01::00
MX
2025/2026
APERTURA – ROUND 1

Necaxa

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Toluca vs Necaxa

The best prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa in the MX League is a victory for Toluca. After an impressive performance in the previous campaign and a strong home support, Toluca is poised to dominate this match. Necaxa, on the other hand, is looking to amend past mistakes and strengthen its position, but playing away against a determined Toluca will be a significant challenge. The home team should take the initiative early, leveraging their offensive advantages.

The best prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa

Toluca wins or a draw nullifies bet

Match preview: Toluca vs Necaxa

Toluca and Necaxa face off at Estadio Nemesio Diez in this opening round of the MX League. Historical encounters between these teams at this venue suggest a home advantage, with Toluca winning three of the last five encounters and drawing the remaining two. In the most recent match on 8 March 2025, Toluca triumphed with a score of 5-2. Analyzing home/away performance is crucial, as Toluca tends to perform notably better at home compared to their away games.

Team analysis: Toluca

Toluca begins its campaign this season after securing the first position in the last. The team thrives on home ground, with a record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss at home, scoring 39 goals and conceding just 14. In contrast, their away performance showcases 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, netting 27 goals while conceding 22. In their last outing, they secured a 2-0 victory over America. The offensive capabilities have been consistent, with Toluca scoring in 9 of the recent 10 matches. Their home fixtures have a tendency for goals, as evidenced by 20 of their last 21 matches exceeding 1.5 goals, and 16 surpassing 2.5 goals. Remarkably, they’ve only managed to equalise once after conceding first in the past 15 encounters.

Toluca arrives on the back of winning the Clausura title last season and has shown strength by overcoming a formidable America side. With a solid strategy, they are well-equipped to pursue victory again, especially with strong support from their fans.

Team analysis: Necaxa

Necaxa is set to start their season after finishing fifth previously. They show resilience in away matches, reflecting similar performance both at home and away, recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 matches away, scoring 24 goals while conceding 27. At home, they have achieved 6 victories, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with 24 goals scored and 23 conceded. In their last match, they drew with Tigres UANL (2-2). Their recent away records highlight a vulnerability in defence, conceding in 7 of their last 10 fixtures, though their attack has been more dependable, scoring in 9 of those matches. Historically, their matches tend to feature goals, with 12 out of the last 17 ending with over 2.5 goals. Notably, when conceding first in 15 matches, they have failed to turn the score around.

Last season, Necaxa failed to meet expectations despite reaching the Clausura quarter-finals. A focus on enhancing their decision-making on the field is vital. With better tactics, they can secure points in this challenging away fixture against a robust Toluca.