👉 What is the recommended bet for Dep. Tolima vs Alianza?

The prediction and suggested bet for Dep. Tolima vs Alianza, on January 23, 2026, in the analysis provided, is: Dep. Tolima to win → bet available.

👉 In which stadium will the Dep. Tolima vs Alianza match be played?

The Dep. Tolima vs Alianza on January 23, 2026, will be held in Ibagué, Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

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Tolima vs Alianza Prediction – First Division

January 20, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Dep. Tolima vs Alianza

Here you will find the best prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Alianza in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from past matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Dep. Tolima and Alianza.

Dep. Tolima

January 23, 2026 – 01::30
Primera Division
2026
Apertura – Round 2

Alianza

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Dep. Tolima vs Alianza

The best prediction for
Dep. Tolima vs Alianza in the Primera Division is a Dep. Tolima win. The match pits a strong home team against a visiting side that is still searching for consistency. Tolima typically establishes a fast pace in their home matches and comes into this game with confidence stemming from a favorable recent record. Alianza will need to compete; however, they may struggle to contain the local intensity. Given this context, the expectation is for Tolima to control the game throughout.

Best prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Alianza

Dep. Tolima to win

Match prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Alianza

The teams Dep. Tolima and Alianza will play at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in a match of the Primera Division (Apertura). The head-to-head record at this venue favors the home team, which has won 5 and drawn 2 of their last 7 encounters. In fact, in the most recent clash at this stadium, for the Primera Division, on February 8, 2025, Deportes Tolima won (3-1). The goals in that match were scored by Gonzalo Lencina (30′), Luis Miranda (45′), and Álex Castro (79′) for Dep. Tolima, while Misael Martínez (14′) scored for Alianza. Special attention is needed for home/away conditions, as both teams have displayed significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of Dep. Tolima

The home team comes into this second round after winning their opening match in the league against Junior FC (0-2). Interestingly, this is a team that has performed better away than at home, as they have recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 30 away games; compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses at their home ground. Dep. Tolima has won 5, drawn 2, and lost 3 of their last 10 matches played at home across all competitions. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 4 times and managed to come back to win only once.

Dep. Tolima enters the Apertura with an extremely positive record, having suffered only one defeat to Alianza in the past three years. Their historical consistency bolsters the confidence of a team used to asserting its dominance. Even after a tough away challenge against Junior, the team returns from travel with renewed focus. At their home ground, Tolima aims to regain control of the game and the characteristic intensity. The goal is clear: to maintain their favorable statistics. From the outset, Tolima aims to showcase their usual strength.

Analysis of Alianza

The visiting team arrives for this second round after suffering a loss in their opener against Fortaleza CEIF (1-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, performing better when backed by their fans, as they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away games, scoring 16 goals and conceding 27. At home, they secured 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a total of 23 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last 10 matches played away in all competitions, Alianza has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 6. The team allowed goals to opponents in 7 of their last 10 games, indicating defensive processes that need improvement.

Alianza did show competitive spirit in their opener, but a single mistake proved costly. The painful 1-0 defeat to Fortaleza taught important lessons for the continuation of the Apertura. Despite the result, their performance revealed a well-organized team willing to compete. Now, once again away from home, they prepare for their second consecutive challenge. The prediction requires maximum attention and maturity. The mission is to turn learning experiences into points and prevent further details from tipping the scales against Tolima.