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Swansea vs Derby Prediction – Championship

Check out the best predictions for Swansea vs Derby

Here you will find the most accurate prediction for Swansea vs Derby in the Championship, accompanied by match analysis and betting suggestions.

Read on for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide you the best prediction for Swansea vs Derby.

Swansea Logo
Swansea

  • 05 April 2025 – 14::00
  • Championship

  • 2024/2025

  • Normal Time – Round 40

Derby soon
Derby


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Swansea vs Derby

The best prediction for Swansea vs Derby in the Championship is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring games, and looking at Swansea’s home matches, the market for “under 2.5 goals” has been successful in 58% of their games. Expect a closely fought contest where the defences will outshine the attacks.

The best prediction for Swansea vs Derby

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Swansea vs Derby

Swansea and Derby meet at Swansea.com Stadium for the 40th round of the Championship. The last encounter saw Swansea City winning 1-2 away on 27-11-2024. Recent head-to-heads favour the home side, who have secured 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 matches. The home advantage may take precedence here, especially considering Derby’s notable disparity in performances at home and away.

Team analysis: Swansea

After accumulating 12 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, the home team currently sits in 16th position with 45 points. Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Leeds United, following a home defeat to Burnley (0-2). Swansea tends to perform better as visitors, with a record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 games away from home, contrasting with a home record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. For their Championship home fixtures, they’ve gathered 14 points from a possible 30, achieving 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 matches played at home. Most frequently, they have led at half-time with a score of 1-0 (7 times in 19 matches). They have overturned the score in just 1 out of 19 matches where they conceded the first goal this season.

Swansea City approaches this match following a 2-2 draw. In the away match against Leeds United, the goals were scored by Harry Darling and Zan Vipotnik. Their tactical setup typically features a 4-4-2 formation, allowing for rapid transitions, particularly through the flanks. The players responsible for troubling the opposing defence are Liam Cullen and Zan Vipotnik, with all athletes available for selection.

Team analysis: Derby

The visitors find themselves in 22nd place, having garnered 38 points from 11 wins, 8 draws, and 20 losses. They recently secured a 2-3 away victory against Plymouth Argyle, followed by a 2-0 home win over Preston North End. Derby struggles on the road, managing only 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 outings away from home, with 14 goals scored and 25 conceded. Conversely, at home, they’ve achieved 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 14. In their last 10 Championship away matches, Derby has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, amassing 5 points from a possible 30. At the halfway mark, the most common scoreline has been 0-0, occurring in 7 of their 20 games. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches in the competition, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. They have conceded the first goal in 21 out of 39 matches so far and have been unable to recover from this disadvantage.

Derby County is coming into this match invigorated after a 2-0 win against Preston, with goals from Craig Forsyth and Jerry Yates. They typically adopt a 3-5-2 tactical formation, allowing for quick transitions, especially down the wings, with Marcus Harness and Jerry Yates leading the attack. Manager John Eustace is missing Liam Thompson due to suspension, along with several injured players including Kemar Roofe, Curtis Nelson, Ben Osborn, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, Ryan Nyambe, Joe Ward, Dajaune Brown, and David Ozoh.

The best prediction for Swansea vs Derby

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

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