Stoke vs Derby Prediction – Championship
Check out the best predictions for Stoke vs Derby
Here you will find the best prediction for Stoke vs Derby in the Championship, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, which includes their recent records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the top prediction for the Stoke vs Derby encounter.
 Stoke |
|  Derby |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Stoke vs Derby
The best prediction for this match is that Derby County will not win. With the home team receiving robust support from their fans, they are expected to leverage that and contend effectively against their opponents, who possess a less formidable squad. Therefore, Stoke is anticipated to at least secure a draw in this encounter.
The best prediction for Stoke vs Derby
Draw Anula Bet: Stoke
Match preview: Stoke vs Derby
Stoke and Derby clash at the Bet365 Stadium in the first round of the Championship. The history of encounters at this ground favours the home team, having won 2 of the last 3 meetings while losing just once. In fact, during the last match at this venue for the Championship on 02‑11-2024, Stoke City emerged victorious with a scoreline of 2‑1. The goals were netted by Thomas Cannon (9′) and Ben Gibson (82′) for Stoke, whereas Derby’s V. Johansson conceded an own goal (68′). It’s essential to consider the home/away performances as Stoke has notably different results at home compared to their away games.
Team analysis: Stoke
The home team enters this season having finished last in 18th place in the previous campaign. They are noticeably stronger when playing at home; in the last 30 matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, compared to 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses at their stadium. They come into this match following a goalless draw away against Derby County. Stoke has achieved 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 home matches across all competitions. Of note is that in 15 games, they only managed a comeback after conceding the first goal in 1 of the 8 instances where that occurred.
Stoke City recently picked up a 1-0 win in a friendly against Burnley. Their tactical formation typically features a 4-3-3 system, with Divin Mubama, Sorba Thomas, and Róbert Boženík spearheading the attack. The team’s play is orchestrated by midfielder Jun-ho, who is vital for building and maintaining their offensive plays. He tends to exploit the right flank, utilising the depth offered by the right-back, Junior Tchamadeu. All players are available for this fixture.
Team analysis: Derby
This will mark Derby’s first match of the season, after finishing the previous one in 19th place. They maintain a consistent performance even when away, with their last 30 games reflecting 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, compared to 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses on home soil. In their latest friendly, they played to a 1‑1 draw against Matlock Town. Over their last 10 away games, Derby has won 3, drawn 3, and lost 4. In 15 fixtures, they have conceded the first goal on 6 occasions and have failed to turn around the scoreline on any of those occasions.
Derby County arrives with momentum after a 2-0 victory in a friendly against Atromitas. The visiting side usually adopts a 4-3-3 tactical setup, with Carlton Morris, Corey Blackett-Taylor, and Rhian Brewster leading the charge. The midfield is anchored by Ben Osborn, a key figure for creating and distributing plays. They typically attack down the left flank, benefiting from the width and depth offered by left-back Craig Forsyth. All players are fit for this contest.
The best prediction for Stoke vs Derby
Draw Anula Bet: Stoke
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