👉 What is the recommended bet for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?

The prediction and betting suggestion for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig on January 10, 2026, based on the analysis by sports experts, is: More/Less Goals -> Over 2.25 goals ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

👉 Which stadium will host St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?

The St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig match on January 10, 2026, will be held in Hamburg, at Millerntor-Stadion.

Football preview

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction – Bundesliga

January 6, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

Here you will find the best prediction for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between St. Pauli and RB Leipzig.

St. Pauli

January 10, 2026 – 14::30
Bundesliga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 16

RB Leipzig

Betting tip and prediction for this match between St. Pauli and RB Leipzig

The best prediction for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga is over 2.25 goals. It’s expected that RB Leipzig will dominate most of the game; however, St. Pauli has an attack capable of exploiting the defensive weaknesses of their opponent. Notably, the “Over 2.25 Goals” market has been successful in 86% of St. Pauli’s home games. Therefore, a dynamic match is anticipated, with goals likely to come easily.

Best prediction for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live bet suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.25 goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

The teams St. Pauli and RB Leipzig face off at Millerntor-Stadion in a match of the 16th round of the Bundesliga. The recent direct encounter history favors the visiting team, which holds 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on February 9, 2025, resulted in a 2-0 victory for RB Leipzig. In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as St. Pauli shows significant differences in results achieved at home compared to away.

Analysis of St. Pauli

After 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, the home team is in 16th place, having accumulated 12 points. In the last match, they drew with FSV Mainz 05 away (0-0), after winning at home against Heidenheim (2-1) in the previous game. Interestingly, this is a team that has been stronger away than at home, as in the last 30 games they have 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors; compared to 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses at their stadium. In the last 7 home games in the league, St. Pauli has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, gaining 7 points from a potential 21. The team allowed goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 games played in this competition, indicating they have not been particularly strong defensively. This is a team that rarely takes the lead first: they have only opened the scoring in 3 of their last 15 Bundesliga games, of which they were in the lead at halftime in 2 and managed to win in the end in 2. In 15 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only managed 1 comeback. There are 1 highlighted periods in the last 18 home matches across all competitions: they scored 6 of their 16 goals within the minutes (76′-90′).

The St. Pauli team enters this match after a draw, 0-0, in their trip to the Mainz 05 stadium, thus marking their third consecutive match without a loss in this Bundesliga season. The home team tends to align in a 3-5-2 tactical system, with Mathias Pereira Lage and Danel Sinani taking on key offensive roles. It’s noteworthy that the player responsible for organizing the offensive sector is midfielder Jackson Irvine. When initiating offensive processes, they usually do so through the left flank, utilizing the depth provided by left-back Louis Oppie. Missing from this match are David Nemeth, Simon Spari, and Andréas Hountondji, all injured.

Analysis of RB Leipzig

The visiting team is currently in 4th place, having amassed 29 points, with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to FC Union Berlin (3-1), and in the last match, they lost at home to Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-3). This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away, as in the last 30 games they have 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses as visitors; compared to 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses at home. In the league, RB Leipzig garnered 11 points out of 24 possible, achieving 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 8 games as visitors. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. This is a team that often scores first: they opened the scoring in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches, of which they were leading at halftime in 7 and successfully maintained their advantage until the end in 9.

RB Leipzig enters this match unmotivated after a 1-3 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, marking their second consecutive loss in the Bundesliga: the only goal for the team was scored by Xaver Schlager. The visiting team typically aligns in a 3-4-3 tactical layout, where the most offensive part of the field is expected to be occupied by Tidiam Gomis, Rômulo, and Conrad Harder. The brain of the team is midfielder Christoph Baumgartner, tasked with defining and directing the team’s offensive actions. Missing from this match are Benjamin Henrichs, Lukas Klostermann, Johan Bakayoko, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Assan Ouédraogo, and Viggo Gebel due to injuries.