👉 In which stadium will Sporting CP vs Casa Pia be played?

The Sporting CP vs Casa Pia match on January 16, 2026, will be held in Lisbon at Estádio José Alvalade.

👉 What is the most popular bet for this game?

The most popular bet among tipsters for the Sporting CP vs Casa Pia match for the 'odds' market is a victory for Sporting CP at Bet365 with 100% tips.

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Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Prediction – Primeira League

January 15, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

Here you will find the best prediction for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga, as well as an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Sporting CP vs Casa Pia.

Sporting CP

January 16, 2026 – 20::15
Primeira Liga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 18

Casa Pia

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

The best prediction for
Palpite Sporting CP vs Casa Pia – Primeira Liga in the Primeira Liga is a Sporting CP win. The team needs to quickly “erase” the memory of their last match where they were eliminated by Vitória SC in the League Cup semifinals. An authoritative response from the Lions is expected to prove they remain a strong title contender. Therefore, betting on Sporting HT/FT looks promising, as it is crucial for Rui Borges’ team to come out strong and secure the lead in the first half.

Best prediction for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

Sporting HT/FT

Match prediction for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

The teams Sporting CP and Casa Pia will play at Estádio José Alvalade in a match of the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition on August 8, 2025, Sporting CP won away (0-2). At this stadium, the head-to-head history favors the home team, which has 3 victories in the last 3 matches. In fact, the last time they faced each other at this venue was on October 5, 2024, in a Primeira Liga game that ended with a 2-0 victory for Sporting CP, with goals scored by Daniel Bragança (39′) and Viktor Gyökeres (80′). Home advantage may play a significant role in this match, as Casa Pia shows notable differences in results achieved at home versus away.

Analysis of Sporting CP

After 13 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, the home team is in 2nd place with 42 points. In their last match, they drew with Gil Vicente away (1-1), after winning at home against Rio Ave (4-0) in the previous game. This is a team that keeps its performance strong when playing away, having recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses in the last 30 matches as visitors, compared to 11 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses at home. In their most recent game, for the League Cup, they lost to Vitória de Guimarães at home (1-2). In the last 8 home games in the league, Sporting CP has 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, earning 19 points out of a possible 24.

In this competition, they have a streak of 4 home wins and have not lost any of the last 13 matches. In their home games, there are frequent halftime scorers: 3-0 (3 in 8 matches) and 0-0 (3 in 8 matches). Their attack has been consistent, scoring at least once in each of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches, there is a trend for goals, as 6 of their last 8 league matches ended with more than 2.5 goals. This team often scores first, having taken the lead in 13 of their last 17 matches in the Primeira Liga, and of those 13, they were ahead at halftime in 10 and maintained the lead until the final whistle in 10. Of the 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal four times but managed to overturn the score in 3 of those. Key moments of their last 20 matches at home include conceding 5 of their 11 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Sporting remains in 2nd place with 42 points, trailing leaders FC Porto by 7 points. In their last match, they unexpectedly dropped 2 points despite playing against the 4th placed team. This draw came after a streak of 3 consecutive wins following a draw with Benfica. Although Sporting has a strong record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss, they have faced an FC Porto team that is almost perfect, leaving no room for close competition. Now, against Casa Pia, the Lions want to “forget” their elimination from the League Cup and look to gather 3 more points in the hope of capitalizing on any slip from FC Porto to narrow the gap at the top of the table.

Analysis of Casa Pia

After 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, the visiting team is in 15th place with 14 points. In their last match, they lost to Rio Ave away (3-1) after drawing at home against Vitória de Guimarães (0-0) in the previous game. Interestingly, this team has been more effective away than at home, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring a total of 18 goals and conceding 20. At home, they accumulated 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a total of 15 goals scored and 26 conceded. In the league, Casa Pia has gathered 10 points from a possible 27, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last 9 away matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strength, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend for goals in their away matches, as 8 of their last 9 games in this competition ended with more than 1.5 goals. This team rarely scores first, having only taken the lead in 4 of their last 17 matches in the Primeira Liga, and of those 4, they were ahead at halftime in 2 and managed to win in 2 out of 90 minutes. In 17 matches in this competition, they have only succeeded in overturning the score in 1 of the 12 matches in which they conceded first.

Casa Pia remains just above the relegation line with 14 points. Below them is Arouca, but tied on points, and above is Nacional, with a 3-point lead. In their last match, they lost at Rio Ave’s stadium (3-1), and in the last 5 matches, they have found just 1 win, which is quite low considering their previous season performances. However, they impressed in their last game against one of the strongest teams, Benfica, where Casa Pia held them to a 2-2 draw at Estádio da Luz.