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São Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for São Paulo vs Fluminense

Here you will find the best prediction for São Paulo vs Fluminense in the Brazileirão Serie A, including match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for a detailed analysis of both teams, focusing on recent performances and key statistics to provide the most accurate prediction for this match between São Paulo vs Fluminense.

SAO PAULO Logo
São Paulo

  • 27 July 2025 – 19::00
  • Brazileirão Series A

  • 2025
  • Normal Time – Round 17
Fluminense
Fluminense


Betting tip and prediction for this match between São Paulo vs Fluminense

The best prediction for São Paulo vs Fluminense in the Brazileirão is that both teams will score. This matchup promises to be closely contested, as both sides are striving for consistency to improve their standings. São Paulo, while slightly underperforming, will look to leverage their home crowd’s support to apply pressure and aim for an early goal. Meanwhile, Fluminense has demonstrated strong attacking capabilities and will look to capitalize on any chances. Thus, betting on both teams to score is advisable, as the match is likely to be open and filled with opportunities for both sides.

Match preview: São Paulo vs Fluminense

São Paulo and Fluminense will clash at the Nicolau Alayon Stadium for the 17th round of the Brazileirão Serie A. Historical encounters at this venue favour the home side, with São Paulo winning 3 of the last 5 contests and drawing the other 2. Notably, in their last meeting at this stadium on 14th May 2024, São Paulo triumphed 2-1. The goals in that match came from D. Bobadilla (33′) and R. Arboleda (84′) for São Paulo, while Igor Vinicius scored an own goal (29′) for Fluminense. The home advantage could be crucial, particularly as Fluminense has demonstrated varying performance levels when playing away.

Team analysis: São Paulo

Currently sitting in 14th place with 16 points—accumulated from 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses—São Paulo is striving for improvement. Their penultimate match saw them secure a 2-0 victory against Corinthians at home, while they also won 1-0 away to Juventude in their latest outing. This team typically performs relatively well away, having registered 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, compared to 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last 8 home games, the team has taken 12 points from a possible 24, with a tendency to draw at halftime (0-0 in 4 of 8 games). However, they have not been particularly solid defensively, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 competitive matches. In 16 league games, they only managed to recover from being behind in 1 of the 7 matches where they conceded first.

As São Paulo plays at home, they aim to harness the fan’s support to rekindle their winning ways. Despite lacking overall consistency, the team has displayed competitiveness at their venue. They need to be more effective in front of goal and avoid the lapses that have hindered their results. Expect them to adopt a more dominant approach, attempting to assert control from the offset. If they can sustain their intensity for the full match, a victory is within reach.

Team analysis: Fluminense

Fluminense currently occupies 8th place, with 20 points from 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. In their previous match, they suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Flamengo, followed by a home loss of 1-2 against Palmeiras. The team has generally performed better at home, winning 10 of their last 30 games at their stadium, while they have recorded only 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses as visitors. In this championship, Fluminense has managed to collect 7 points from 21 in their last 7 away matches, struggling to maintain consistency. Their defence has been shaky, conceding goals in 9 of the last 10 games, but their attack remains productive, having scored in 7 of those same matches. Of the 14 matches played, they conceded first in 7 and managed to equalize in only 2. A concerning trend in recent matches shows that they have conceded 7 out of their 16 goals in the last minutes.

Fluminense is at a critical juncture in the league and faces pressure due to a recent slump. They need to regain tactical and psychological balance to avert further issues. A more cautious approach focused on defensive stability and exploiting counterattacks is essential. Despite their difficult phase, Fluminense has the quality to rebound if they can minimize individual errors. This forthcoming match poses a challenge, but securing a positive result could prove pivotal for their campaign.

The best prediction for São Paulo vs Fluminense

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or treble bet suggestion)
Both teams to score (risky bet)

Do both teams score? Yes

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