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Santos vs São Paulo Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Santos vs São Paulo

Here you will find the best prediction for Santos vs São Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Santos vs São Paulo.

Santos logo
Santos

  • February 4, 2026 – 23::00
  • Brasileirão Série A

  • 2026
  • Regular Season – Round 2
São Paulo logo
São Paulo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santos vs São Paulo

The best prediction for Santos vs São Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A is that both teams will score. Santos is still trying to get organized after a poor start, while São Paulo is confident after winning their opening match. The expectation is for a balanced game, presenting chances for both sides. This makes the market for both teams to score appealing, as São Paulo’s offensive pressure can be countered by Santos in quick breaks.

Best prediction for Santos vs São Paulo

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier suggestion)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Santos vs São Paulo

The teams Santos and São Paulo play at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira in a match of the 2nd round of the Brasileirão Série A. In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 6 encounters. The last time they met at this stadium was on September 22, 2025, in a Brasileirão Série A match that ended with Santos winning (1-0). The only goal of the match was scored by Guilherme. In this match, the home advantage could play an important role, as both teams exhibit significant differences in their results when playing at home versus as visitors.

Santos Analysis

The home team arrives at this 2nd round match after a loss in their debut against Chapecoense (4-2). This is a team that is affected by the home factor, stronger when playing in front of their supporters, as their last 30 matches show 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 18 goals and conceding 27, compared to 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses at home, with 20 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team comes into this matchup after a away loss to São Paulo (2-0). Santos has won 5, drawn 4, and lost 1 of their last 10 home games across all competitions. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never managed to turn the score around. There are 2 standout periods in the last 18 home matches: they scored 28 of their 48 goals between the minutes (46’-60’); conceded 6 of their 15 goals during the same period.

Santos is facing the second round of the Brasileirão trying to improve their championship start, as they hold a precarious position on the table. At home, the team should aim for better defensive organization and control spaces to avoid exposing themselves to São Paulo’s attack. The strategy will likely involve a balance between patience in build-up play and speed in offensive transitions. They will need to capitalize on created opportunities efficiently, as each moment can directly influence the final outcome.

São Paulo Analysis

The away team arrives at this 2nd round match after a win in their league debut, against Flamengo, (2-1). This team is stronger when playing at home, as their last 30 games show 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses as visitors; compared to 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses at home. In the last match they played, for the Paulista A1, they defeated Santos at home (2-0). In the last 10 away matches, São Paulo has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 7. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating a need to improve their defense, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 games. In 15 matches, they have managed to come back only once when conceding the first goal. In their last 20 away games in all competitions, there are 2 notable periods: they scored 5 of their 14 goals between the minutes (76’-90’); conceded 29 of their 60 goals between the minutes (46’-60’).

São Paulo arrives at the game under pressure to maintain the good form shown in the first round, aiming for three points and trusting their offensive performance. Away from home, the team should aim to control possession and exploit spaces left by Santos while being careful defensively to avoid being surprised by counterattacks. The ability to create consistent plays and efficiency in finishing will be crucial for the team to secure three more points and solidify their placement in the league standings.

Best prediction for Santos vs São Paulo

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier suggestion)

Will both teams score? Yes

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