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Santos vs Corinthians Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Santos vs Corinthians

Here you will find the best prediction for Santos vs Corinthians in the Paulista Championship, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent head-to-head records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Santos vs Corinthians.

Santos logo
Santos

  • January 22, 2026 – 22::30
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Serie A1 – Round 4
Corinthians logo
Corinthians


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santos vs Corinthians

The best prediction for
Santos vs Corinthians in the Paulista Championship is less than 2.5 goals. Given the balance between Santos and Corinthians, the expectation is for a competitive match, but with limited chances for many goals, as both teams tend to play cautiously, aiming to minimize errors and exploit specific opportunities.

Best prediction for Santos vs Corinthians

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Santos vs Corinthians

The teams Santos and Corinthians face off at the Urbano Caldeira Stadium in a matchup for the Paulista A1. The history of direct confrontations played at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 4, drawn 2, and lost 3 of the last 9 matches. In fact, in the last encounter at this stadium for the Brasileirão Serie A on October 16, 2025, Santos won 3-1. The goals were scored by Álvaro Barreal (39′), Zé Rafael (4′), and Benjamín Rollheiser (55′) for Santos, with Raniele (58′) scoring for Corinthians. It is essential to pay special attention to the home/away condition, as Santos shows different results at home and away.

Santos Analysis

After 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, the home team is currently in 11th place, having earned 3 points. In the last match, they drew 1-1 away against Guarani, following a previous 1-0 away loss to Palmeiras. This team is affected by home advantage, performing better in front of their fans, as in the last 30 matches they have recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 19 goals and conceding 26, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last 10 home games, Santos has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their attack has been consistently scoring, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 matches. In 15 games, they have never come back after conceding the first goal in the 7 matches where they fell behind. There are 2 notable periods in the last 16 home matches across all competitions: they scored 28 of their 47 goals between minutes 46-60; they conceded 6 of their 14 goals in the same timeframe.

Santos enters this round of the Paulista Championship with a mission to recover after a balanced start to the competition, tallying one win, one draw, and one loss in three games. The team has scored three goals and conceded the same amount, showcasing offensive consistency but defensive vulnerabilities at critical moments. Playing away, the team will need to control the game’s tempo, maintain possession, and exploit the spaces left by the opposition, aiming to impose their style and create opportunities intelligently to enhance their chances of victory. Recent performances indicate that Santos can be competitive but must be extremely attentive during defensive transitions to avoid being caught off guard.

Corinthians Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 10th place, also with 3 points, after recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they lost 3-0 away to Bragantino. In the last match, they drew 1-1 at home against São Paulo. This team is less affected by home advantage, showing similar results both home and away, as in their last 30 matches they have recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 16 goals and conceding 20. At home, they secured 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, scoring a total of 22 goals and conceding 13. In their last 10 away games, Corinthians has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 6. The team allowed goals to the opposition in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating a need for defensive improvement; however, their attack has been scoring regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 games. They have suffered the first goal in 15 matches, managing only 1 comeback in those instances. In their last 20 away matches across all competitions, one notable period stands out: they conceded 35 of their 53 goals between minutes 46-60.

Corinthians arrives with a similar situation, sitting slightly higher in the standings with four points. The team also boasts one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring and conceding a total of four goals, indicating balance but with room for adjustments at certain moments of the game. Playing away, the team will need to handle the pressure from the opposition and seek quick solutions to remain offensively effective while correcting defensive flaws to avoid conceding goals in dangerous situations. The match promises to be contested and tense, with both teams striving to impose their style.

Best prediction for Santos vs Corinthians

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)


 

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