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Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Santos Laguna vs Toluca

Here you will find the top prediction for Santos Laguna vs Toluca in the MX League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, covering recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.

Santos Laguna Logo
Santos Laguna

  • 17 July 2025 – 03::05
  • MX

  • 2025/2026
  • APERTURE – ROUND 2
Toluca Logo
Toluca


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santos Laguna vs Toluca

The best prediction for Santos Laguna vs Toluca in the MX League is less than 3.5 goals. Santos Laguna enjoyed a solid start with a victory at home, making them a formidable opponent. Toluca also won their opening match and has a strong squad, promising a competitive encounter. However, the challenges of playing away could hinder their performance. Both teams favour a balanced style of play, which is likely to lead to a focus on defensive solidity in this matchup.

The best prediction for Santos Laguna vs Toluca

Under 3.5 goals

Match preview: Santos Laguna vs Toluca

Santos Laguna and Toluca will compete at the Nuevo Corona Stadium in the second round of the MX League. Historical matches at this venue indicate a close contest, with both teams having 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 7 encounters. The most recent match at this stadium took place on 23–09–2024, when Santos Laguna defeated Toluca 2–0. Given the home advantage, it could prove significant in this matchup, especially considering the discrepancies in home and away performance for both teams.

Team analysis: Santos Laguna

The home side enters this match following their opening victory against Pumas UNAM, with a score of 3–0. Santos Laguna traditionally performs better at home, boasting only 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 30 away fixtures, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. In contrast, they have registered 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses at home, tallying 16 goals scored against 25 conceded. Over their last 10 home matches, Santos Laguna recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. Notably, they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 games, indicating a need for defensive improvement, although they’ve scored in 7 of those matches. Games at home frequently result in goals, with 17 out of their last 19 home matches yielding over 1.5 goals. Furthermore, the team rarely turns a match around after conceding the first goal.

Santos Laguna’s victory in their opener instils confidence in the squad. Their gameplay has showcased a balanced approach, with effectiveness in both attack and defence. With home turf on their side, Santos is aware of the importance of securing three points to enhance their standing. They must maintain the pressure from the start while exploiting any gaps left by the opposing defence.

Team analysis: Toluca

The visiting side arrives for this second round after defeating Necaxa 3–1 in their opener. Toluca tends to perform stronger at home, with a record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses from their last 30 away matches, contrasting with 11 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss at home. During their last 10 away games, Toluca has garnered 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Their attacking unit has been consistent, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches. There’s a strong tendency for goals in their away fixtures, with 18 of their last 21 games resulting in over 1.5 goals. Additionally, they’ve only managed to overturn the scoreline in 2 of the 5 matches in which they conceded first.

Toluca’s opening match victory has them entering this confrontation with confidence. Their tactical organisation and effective attack pose a threat to any defence. However, playing away will demand heightened concentration and defensive discipline to avoid surprises. Toluca possesses the quality to secure a win but must exercise caution against a robust Santos Laguna side.

The best prediction for Santos Laguna vs Toluca

Under 3.5 goals

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