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Santos Laguna vs Necaxa Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

Here you will find the best prediction for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa in Liga MX, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Santos Laguna and Necaxa.

Santos Laguna logo
Santos Laguna

  • January 10, 2026 – 01::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 1
Necaxa logo
Necaxa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

The best prediction for
Santos Laguna vs Necaxa in Liga MX is a Santos Laguna win. The expectation is for a balanced match, but with a slight favoritism towards the home team, which needs to convert home advantage into points right from the start of the Clausura. Necaxa will aim for organization but often leaves spaces under constant pressure. The suggested bet is on a Santos Laguna victory without the option for a draw.

Best prediction for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

Draw voids bet: Santos Laguna

Match prediction for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

The teams Santos Laguna and Necaxa are set to play at Estadio Nuevo Corona in a match of the first round of Liga MX. The historical head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home side, which has won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 encounters. In fact, in the most recent match at this stadium for Liga MX on September 2, 2024, Santos Laguna won 3-2. Goals in that match were scored by Santiago Muñoz (81′), Franco Fagúndez (75′), and Tahiel Jiménez (90′) for Santos Laguna, and José Paradela (33′) and Rogelio Cortéz Pineda (65′) for Necaxa. Special attention is needed regarding home/away performances, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Santos Laguna Analysis

The home team enters this phase of Liga MX (Clausura) after finishing the previous qualifying phase (Apertura) in 11th place with 20 points. This is a team that benefits from home advantage, as they are stronger when playing in front of their fans; in the last 30 matches, they recorded 3 draws and 12 losses as visitors, with 14 goals scored and 34 conceded, compared to 8 victories and 7 losses at home, scoring 21 goals and conceding 21. In their last 9 home matches in the league, Santos Laguna has achieved 6 wins and 3 losses, earning 18 points from a possible 27.

In this competition, they have won the last 4 home games they played. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches in this competition, there is a tendency for fewer goals, as 4 of the last 9 ended with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they have never managed to turn around a match after conceding the first goal in the 8 games where they fell behind. In their last 17 home games across all competitions, two key periods stand out: they scored 36 out of their 55 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, and conceded 79 out of their 186 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Santos Laguna fought until the end in the Apertura but finished in 11th position, suffering due to an irregular campaign. Their lack of consistency in decisive moments prevented them from climbing higher in the standings. Now, the Clausura demands a different approach from the start. Playing at home, they know they must assert themselves on the pitch and convert intensity into results. In front of their fans against Necaxa, Santos aims for a more solid start and the chance to demonstrate their capability to compete at a higher level.

Necaxa Analysis

The visiting team comes into this phase of Liga MX (Clausura) after finishing the previous qualifying phase (Apertura) in 13th place, with 17 points. This team performs better at home, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last 9 away matches in the league, Necaxa has only 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, earning just 5 points from 27 possible. The team has allowed goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, showcasing poor defensive solidity, but their attack has scored in 9 of those last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games in this competition, there is a tendency for goals, as 7 out of 9 concluded with over 2.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they have managed to turn a match around only once in the 12 times they conceded the first goal.

Necaxa finished the first phase of the Apertura with only 17 points, reflecting an inconsistent and ineffective campaign. The lack of consistency throughout the tournament took its toll and kept the team away from the decisive phase. Nevertheless, the adjustment period has shown signs of improvement in some aspects of their play. Now, the Clausura represents an opportunity to present a firmer and more competitive stance. In their season opener away from home against Santos Laguna, Necaxa looks to display organization, intensity, and a more prepared team ready to fight for greater achievements.

Best prediction for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa

Draw voids bet: Santos Laguna

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