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Santa Clara vs Porto Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Santa Clara vs Porto

Here you will find the best prediction for Santa Clara x Porto in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Santa Clara and Porto.

Santa Clara logo
Santa Clara

  • January 4, 2026 – 18::00
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 17
Porto logo
Porto


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santa Clara vs Porto

The best prediction for
Santa Clara vs Porto in the Primeira Liga is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. Despite FC Porto being the favorite, defeating Santa Clara is not easy, as evidenced by Sporting’s struggles to win there in their last two encounters, which ended in controversial victories. Therefore, this match could also be challenging for FC Porto, who will need to come prepared to earn all three points. The game is expected to be a fierce contest with few goals.

Best prediction for Santa Clara vs Porto

Under 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or treble)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (more risky prediction)

Match prediction for Santa Clara vs Porto

The teams Santa Clara and Porto are set to play at the Estádio de São Miguel in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the visiting team, which has won 3 out of the last 4 matches and drawn 1. In their most recent encounter at this venue, Porto won (0-2) in a Primeira Liga match on August 16, 2024, with goals scored by Galeno (25′) and Iván Jaime (16′). It’s essential to pay close attention to home/away performance, as Santa Clara shows different results depending on the venue.

Analysis of Santa Clara

The home team is currently in 14th place with 16 points after 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Sporting Braga (1-0). In their last match, they drew at home against Arouca (0-0). This team is greatly affected by playing at home, as they perform better in front of their fans; in their last 30 games, they have 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 12 goals and conceding 19, compared to 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses at home, scoring 19 goals and conceding 11. In their last 8 home games in the league, Santa Clara has achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, earning 11 points out of a possible 24. The most common result at halftime in their home league matches has been 0-0, recorded in 4 of their 8 games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, with goals in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. Their home games tend to have few goals, as 5 of their last 8 league games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 7 times and were unable to turn the score around. There are notable trends in their last 15 home matches across all competitions, with 6 of their 17 goals coming in the minutes between 76′ and 90′.

Santa Clara is unlikely to reach the level they showed in the previous season. We’re already halfway through the league, and the team is closer to the relegation zone than the positions they occupied last year. With only 16 points, they are just 2 points above the first team in the relegation zone. They have just 1 win in their last 5 matches, which is far from the expectations set by the club at the beginning of the season. To make matters worse, they failed to score in their last match against Arouca and now face FC Porto. A loss could see them drop below the relegation line.

Analysis of Porto

After 15 wins and 1 draw, the visiting team is in 1st place with 46 points. In their last match, they won against AVS at home (2-0), following an away victory against Alverca (0-3). This team is not heavily impacted by the home advantage, showing similar results both at home and away, with 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses as visitors in the last 30 games, scoring 27 goals and conceding 7. At home, they have also secured 13 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 32 goals and conceding 8.

In this competition, they have won their last 8 away games. The most common result at halftime in their away league matches has been 0-1 (4 out of 8 games). The defense has performed well, conceding goals in only 3 of the last 10 matches, while their attack has scored consistently, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition. There is a trend for goals in their away matches, as 7 of their last 8 games in this competition ended with over 1.5 goals. This team usually does not struggle to take the lead: they scored the first goal in 14 of their last 16 matches in the Primeira Liga, and out of those 14, they were leading at halftime in 11 and maintained their lead until the final whistle.

FC Porto remains a winning machine! The numbers speak for themselves, with 15 wins in 16 matches, and the only game where they dropped points was against Benfica. Regardless of the game’s difficulty, this team under Farioli has not given other clubs a chance to close the gap, even gaining 2 additional points against Sporting in the previous match. They already have a 4-point lead over the lions and 10 points over Benfica. With all this in mind, the dragons head to the Azores as strong favorites to secure another 3 points.

Best prediction for Santa Clara vs Porto

Under 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or treble)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (more risky prediction)

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