Santa Clara vs Moreirense Prediction – Primeira Liga
Check out the best predictions for Santa Clara vs Moreirense
Here you will find the best prediction for Santa Clara vs Moreirense in the first league, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Santa Clara and Moreirense.
 Santa Clara |
|  Moreirense |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Santa Clara vs Moreirense
The best prediction for Santa Clara vs Moreirense in the first league is a victory for Santa Clara with less than 2.5 goals. Santa Clara tends to be well-organised defensively, showing solid performances in previous matches under Vasco Matos. Moreirense may play cautiously, as a draw could be considered a favourable outcome for them. Furthermore, with Santa Clara having a Conference League match only four days later, they might not push the pace significantly in this encounter. This makes the suggested bet an appealing option given the context.
The best prediction for Santa Clara vs Moreirense
Santa Clara to win with less than 2.5 goals
Match preview: Santa Clara vs Moreirense
Santa Clara and Moreirense will compete at the São Miguel Stadium in a clash during the 2nd round of the first league. The history of matches played at this venue indicates a level playing field between these two sides, with three draws in their last three encounters. The last meeting on this ground was on 9 March 2025, which also ended in a 1-1 stalemate. Goals were scored by Vinícius Lopes for Santa Clara and Yan Maranhão for Moreirense. Home advantage could be crucial in this fixture, as Moreirense generally displays different performances at home compared to playing away.
Team analysis: Santa Clara
The home team enters this match following a loss in their opening league match against Famalicão, suffering a 3-0 defeat. They are not heavily influenced by playing at home, as their statistics show comparable outcomes at home and away. In their last 30 matches, they have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses on the road, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. In contrast, at home, they achieved 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, netting 16 goals while conceding only 11. In their latest match, competing in the UEFA Conference League, they drew 0-0 with Larne. Of their last 10 home games, Santa Clara has achieved 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. They consistently find the net, scoring in 8 of their last 10 matches. However, there’s a tendency for fewer goals in their home fixtures, as 9 of their last 18 matches concluded with less than 1.5 goals, and 13 out of 18 ended with less than 2.5 goals. Notably, in 15 matches, they have never managed to overturn a scoreline when conceding the first goal.
Santa Clara surprised many in the first round of the Portugal League with a disappointing performance, particularly given their strong showing last season when they finished in 5th place. With Vasco Matos continuing as head coach, an expected resurgence did not materialise, exemplified by their heavy defeat against Famalicão. Now, looking ahead to the second round against Moreirense, a team they have failed to defeat in their last two encounters at the São Miguel Stadium, the pressure is on to perform. Alongside their league commitments, Santa Clara also qualified for the final phase of the League Cup, which may explain the mixed performances in recent fixtures.
Team analysis: Moreirense
The visiting side arrives for this second round after starting their campaign with a 2-1 victory over Alverca. Moreirense tends to feel the impact of home matches significantly more, with their last 30 games showing 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses in away fixtures, scoring 15 goals while conceding 23. At home, they’ve performed better, with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, resulting in 21 goals for and against. In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Moreirense secured 2 wins, produced 2 draws, and lost 6. The team has shown a tendency to concede goals, allowing their opponents to score in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating a defensive need for improvement. However, their attack has been consistently effective, scoring in 9 of their last 10 games. Notably, during 15 matches, they were unable to recover a scoreline after going behind first. In their last 19 away matches, they have scored 7 of their 20 goals during the 46th to 60th minutes.
Moreirense has proven itself quite resilient when playing at home. Their recent win against Alverca, obtained with a last-minute goal, showcases their determination. This does not detract from their capabilities, as they will be eager to demonstrate that this victory was not merely a stroke of luck. Past visits to the São Miguel Stadium have been fruitful, with goals scored in two of their last visits, registering a 2-2 draw and a 1-1 result last season. Despite Santa Clara’s loss in their opening match, the Azorean side remains a strong contender in the Portugal League, making it essential for Moreirense to approach this clash with heightened awareness under Vasco Costa’s guidance.
The best prediction for Santa Clara vs Moreirense
Santa Clara to win with less than 2.5 goals
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