Betting tip and prediction for this match between Salernitana and Cosenza
The best prediction for Salernitana vs Cosenza in Serie B is “under 2.5 goals”. In this championship match, both teams are under immense pressure. Salernitana, currently 18th, needs a win to stay viable in the battle against relegation, whilst Cosenza, already threatened with dropping down, seeks to find their footing against a direct rival. The Serie B is notorious for its competitiveness and balance, and both teams’ recent performances reflect this intensity, making this encounter likely to be a tightly contested affair. Historically, matches between these teams have been low-scoring (8 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters have ended with less than 2.5 goals), coupled with slow transitions and modest offensive outputs, suggesting a match with few clear goal-scoring opportunities — reinforcing the view that this betting market is a safer option in this direct showdown.
Match preview: Salernitana vs Cosenza
Salernitana and Cosenza will clash at Stadio Arechi in the 35th round of Serie B. The last encounter saw the two teams draw 1-1 on 3rd January 2024. In this upcoming match, the home advantage may play a crucial role, as Salernitana has demonstrated significant discrepancies in results when playing on their home turf versus being the away side.
Team analysis: Salernitana
The home team currently sits in 18th place, having accumulated 33 points from 8 wins, 9 draws and 16 losses. In their second-last match, they lost 1-0 to Juve Stabia, but bounced back in their most recent fixture with a 2-1 win at home against Südtirol. Salernitana exhibits a marked home advantage, having recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 9 losses in their last 30 away matches (scoring 7 and conceding 21) compared to 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses at home (with 17 goals scored and 18 conceded). In their last 10 home league matches, they have secured 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, earning 17 points from a possible 30. Typically, the most common score at halftime in their home games has been 0-0, occurring in 7 out of 17 matches. Notably, in 33 games played this season, they have only managed to come from behind in 1 of the 19 instances where they conceded first.
Salernitana faces a critical match where they urgently need to claim points to distance themselves from the relegation zone. They arrive at this fixture with a fragile form yet buoyed by their recent victory over Südtirol. The squad adopts a pragmatic style of play, emphasising structured defending and rapid transitions down the flanks, striving to exploit counterattacks post-restoration of possession. Tactically, the coach favours a solid defense, although the team struggles to maintain consistent goalkeeping, having failed to complete their recent games without conceding.
Team analysis: Cosenza
Cosenza, currently in 20th place, has garnered 27 points from 6 wins, 13 draws, and 14 losses. They recently drew 1-1 against Brescia at home after securing a 2-2 draw against Frosinone away in their previous match. Cosenza’s performances remain consistent whether at home or away, recording 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away games, while their home form includes 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. In their last 10 league matches away from home, Cosenza has managed 3 draws and suffered 7 losses, earning a mere 3 points from a possible 30.
For this competition, they are without a victory in their last 10 away fixtures. Their defensive stability has been lacking, conceding goals in 8 of their last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 games this season, they have conceded first on 19 occasions and failed to turn the outcomes around. An alarming trend is emerging; in the last 16 matches played on the road in this competition, they have conceded 12 of their 28 goals during the closing stages of matches (76’–90′).
Cosenza enters this match as the bottom team in the league, facing pressure from consecutive negative results and a need for an immediate turnaround. Their recent performances reveal offensive limitations, often resulting in draws and defeats, notably a recent 1-1 draw against Brescia at home. The team’s play is characterised by a reactive tactical approach, often setting up with deep lines to restrict the opponent’s space and looking to exploit counterattacks. While this strategy can lead to evenly matched games, it often proves unproductive, evidenced by their poor offensive metrics and high frequency of defeats, struggling to avoid conceding goals in recent outings.
The best prediction for Salernitana vs Cosenza
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or treble bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
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