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Saint-Étienne vs PSG Prediction – Ligue 1
Check out the best predictions for Saint-Étienne vs PSG
Here you find the best prediction for Saint-Étienne vs PSG in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting suggestions.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Saint-Étienne vs PSG.
 Saint-Étienne |
|  PSG |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Saint-Étienne vs PSG
The best prediction for the match between Saint-Étienne vs PSG in Ligue 1 is over 3.5 goals. This encounter is anticipated to be relatively one-sided, but both teams typically play in an open manner, showing little concern defensively. Notably, the ‘more than 3.5 goals’ market has been successful in three of PSG’s last four away performances. Thus, a very engaging match is expected, with opportunities likely to arise throughout.
The best prediction for Saint-Étienne vs PSG
Over 3.5 goals
Match preview: Saint-Étienne vs PSG
Saint-Étienne and PSG will compete at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in the 27th round of Ligue 1. In their previous meeting within this competition on 12 January 2025, Paris Saint Germain secured a home victory by a score of 2-1. The record of recent encounters favours the visiting team, who have won all of their last four direct confrontations. The home/away dynamic is significant here; while this features the 17th-ranked team against the league leaders, it effectively becomes a battle between the 12th positioned side in home match standings and the top-ranked side as visitors.
Team analysis: Saint-Étienne
Currently, the home team is placed 17th, having accumulated 20 points from 5 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats. In their second-last fixture, they lost at home to Nice (1-3). In their most recent match, they drew 1-1 against Le Havre. Saint-Étienne performs stronger at home, having achieved 17 points in front of their own supporters, compared to a mere 3 points when playing away. In the league, they have garnered 14 points from 30 available, recording 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 home matches. In their home fixtures, the predominant half-time score has been 0-1 (5 out of 12 matches). While the team has been relatively weak defensively, conceding in every one of their last 10 matches, their attack has been consistently effective, scoring in 9 of those games. Notably, their home games often tend to have low scores, with 8 out of their last 12 matches for the league ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. In a total of 25 league matches, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have managed to come back only once. One notable aspect in their last 12 home games is that they scored 6 of their 15 goals between the minutes of 46 and 60.
Saint-Étienne heads into this match following a 1-1 draw. During their visit to Le Havre, Lucas Stassin netted the lone goal for the team. The home side typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, with Zuriko Davitashvili, Lucas Stassin, and Irvin Cardona leading the attack. Midfielder Benjamin Bouchouari plays a pivotal role in orchestrating and executing the team’s offensive strategies. All players are available for selection in this match.
Team analysis: PSG
The visiting team currently sits at the top of the table, having acquired 68 points through 21 wins and 5 draws. In their second-last match, they triumphed against Rennes with a score of 4-1. Their most recent encounter ended in a 3-1 victory over Olympique Marseille at home. The team is not heavily impacted by the home/away factor, producing similar results irrespective of venue. In the league, PSG has accumulated 26 points from a possible 30, achieving 8 wins and 2 draws over their last 10 away games.
Within this competition, they have secured six consecutive wins on the road and remain unbeaten in their last 13 matches as visitors. Although they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games, this has not undermined their attacking prowess, as they have consistently scored at least once in each of their last 10 league fixtures. Out of the matches away from home, there has been a tendency for high-scoring encounters, as 9 out of 13 surpassed the 2.5 goals mark. This team often opens the scoring first: they have been the first to score in 21 of their last 26 Ligue 1 matches, managing to maintain their lead at half-time in 16 of those instances and retaining their advantage until the full-time whistle in 19 cases. Out of 26 matches in Ligue 1, they conceded the first goal on 4 occasions but managed to turn the result around in 2 of those. Key periods where they have excelled recently in this competition include (46’–60′) and 5 out of their last 14 goals falling between (76’–90′).
Paris Saint Germain comes into this encounter off a 3-1 win against Marseille, with goals scored by Ousmane Dembélé, Nuno Mendes, and a highlight own goal from Pol Lirola. The Parisian outfit usually sets up in a 4-3-3 formation, featuring Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, and Désiré Doué in attack. Midfielder Vitinha is instrumental in organising offensive plays and dictates the tempo of the match. All players are fit and available for this match.
The best prediction for Saint-Étienne vs PSG
Over 3.5 goals
