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River Plate vs Peñarol Prediction – Primera Division” would be updated to “River Plate vs Peñarol Prediction – Primera Division.

Check out the best predictions for River Plate vs Peñarol

Here you will discover the foremost prediction for River Plate vs Peñarol in the First Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their previous games to provide the best prediction for this match between River Plate and Peñarol.

River Plate Logo
River Plate

  • 13 June 2025 – 22::00
  • Primera Division

  • 2025
  • Intermediate Round – Group 1 – Round 4
Peñarol logo
Peñarol


Betting tip and prediction for this match between River Plate vs Peñarol

The best prediction for River Plate vs Peñarol in the Primera Division is a victory for Peñarol. River Plate faces Peñarol in a challenging fixture where the visitors are the favourites. The Aurinegro side boasts greater technical resources and generally maintains control of matches even when playing away. They tend to impose their pace effectively and generate more offensive opportunities. Given this context, a win for Peñarol is a strong suggestion for your bets.

The best prediction for River Plate vs Peñarol

Peñarol to win

Match preview: River Plate vs Peñarol

River Plate and Peñarol meet at Federico Omar Saroldi Park in a fixture for the fourth round of the Primera Division. Historical encounters at this venue favour the visitors, who have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5 meetings. Notably, in their last confrontation here, on 14 July 2024, Peñarol emerged victorious with a score of 3-1. The goals were scored by Tiago Galletto (14′) for River Plate and E. Darias (88′), M. Silvera (11′), and G. Rodríguez (61′) for Peñarol. Careful analysis of home and away records is warranted, as both teams have exhibited significantly divergent results based on venue.

Team analysis: River Plate

Currently occupying 8th position with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats, River Plate has struggled to secure any points recently. In their last match, they suffered a loss to Cerro with a score of 0-1, following a previous home defeat to Sporting by 1-2. The team is adversely impacted by the home advantage, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats away from home, allowing 20 goals while scoring just 10. Conversely, at home, their record is 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with goals scored standing at 14 and conceded 18. River Plate has accumulated only 7 points from a possible 24 in their last 8 matches at home, frequently finishing the first half at 0-0 (in 5 out of 8 games). Defensively, they have conceded in 7 of their last 10 games this season, indicating a need for improvement. The trend in their home matches suggests few goals, with 6 of their last 8 games ending with less than 2.5 goals. In the 18 matches of this competition, River Plate has conceded the first goal 12 times and has never managed to turn around the deficit.

River Plate has faced challenges in establishing a commanding presence this season, demonstrating inconsistency in both defensive organisation and offensive creativity. However, they tend to perform competitively on home turf, adopting a reactive style with tactical discipline. Against a seasoned opponent, the key will be maintaining focus for the entire match and avoiding mistakes that could jeopardise their strategy.

Team analysis: Peñarol

The visiting side stands 3rd with 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, having recently gained 4 points. In their last match, they triumphed over Defender Sporting at home with a scoreline of 3-0, following a previous draw against Cerro Largo, finishing 1-1. Interestingly, Peñarol has been more effective away than at home, with a record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses on the road against 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home. In the championship, they have garnered 18 points out of a possible 27, achieving 5 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 9 away fixtures.

For this competition, they haven’t suffered a loss as visitors in their last 5 games. In championship matches, the most frequent result at half-time has been 0-0, occurring in 4 of the 8 games played. Their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 encounters in this competition. In their 17 Primera Division matches, Peñarol has conceded the first goal 6 times but has managed to overturn the scoreline in 2 instances. Over their last 20 away games across all competitions, they have let in 8 of their 18 goals during the final stages (76’–90′).

Peñarol arrives as the more solid team of the two, with a clearly defined match pattern. The side exhibits physical dominance, intensity in midfield, and superior control during matches. Even when playing away, they tend to assert themselves early in the match. Their defensive consistency and pressing capabilities make them a formidable competitor in any betting scenario.

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