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Rennes vs Lorient Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Rennes vs Lorient

Here you will find the best prediction for Rennes vs Lorient in Ligue 1, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent records and key statistics from recent matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Rennes and Lorient.

Rennes logo
Rennes

  • January 24, 2026 – 16::00
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Lorient logo
Lorient


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Rennes and Lorient

The best prediction for Rennes vs Lorient in Ligue 1 is a Rennes win. In addition to playing at home with the overwhelming support of their fans, they are facing an opponent with a weaker squad. It’s worth noting that Rennes has won three of their last four matches in their stadium. As such, it’s expected that the home team will enter the field with a clear objective and ultimately secure the three points.

Best prediction for Rennes vs Lorient

Rennes to win

Match prediction for Rennes vs Lorient

The teams Rennes and Lorient play at Roazhon Park in a match for the 19th round of Ligue 1. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition on August 24, 2025, Lorient won at home by (4-0). The record of head-to-head matches in this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, as there has been 1 draw and 2 victories for each team in the last 5 matches. However, in the most recent meeting at this venue on March 3, 2024, Lorient won by (1-2). The goals of the match were scored by Amine Gouiri (90′) for Rennes and by Eli Junior Kroupi (90′) and Mohamed Bamba (59′) for Lorient. In this match, home advantage could play a decisive role, as Lorient has shown differences in performance between home and away games.

Rennes Analysis

After 8 victories, 7 draws, and 3 losses, the home team is in 6th place, having accumulated 31 points. In their last match, they drew with Le Havre at home (1-1), after having won away in the previous match against LOSC Lille (0-2). This is a team that is not heavily affected by the home factor, showing similar results at home and away, as in their last 30 matches they record 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring 26 goals and conceding 28, compared to 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at home, scoring 28 goals and conceding 15. In the league, Rennes has secured 18 points from a possible 27, after 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 9 matches played at home. The team conceded goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity; however, their attack has been consistent, having scored in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their home games for the league, there is a tendency for goals, as 6 out of 9 games finished with over 2.5 goals. Out of 18 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 7 times and managed to turn the score around only 2 times. In the last 17 home matches across all competitions, there are 2 notable periods: they scored 12 of their 29 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes; they conceded 7 of their 17 goals in the same timeframe.

Rennes enters this encounter following a draw against Le Havre, resulting in their third consecutive match without a loss in Ligue 1: the only goal scored by the team was by Breel Embolo. The home team typically lines up in a 5-3-2 formation, where the two players tasked with causing panic in the opponent’s defense are Breel Embolo and Esteban Lepaul. The midfield is expected to be filled by Quentin Merlin, Mahdi Camara, and Valentin Rongier, with the latter responsible for creating the team’s offensive plays. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Brice Samba, Alidu Seidu, Anthony Rouault, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Lilian Brassier, Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Mahdi Camara, Mousa Tamari, Estéban Lepaul, Breel Embolo.
Coach: B. Génésio.

Lorient Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 12th place, with 22 points obtained, having 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they drew at home against Metz (1-1). In their last match, they won away against Monaco (1-3). This is a team affected by the home factor, performing better when playing with the support of their fans, as in their last 30 matches they record 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, with a total of 17 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home, they have achieved 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 39 goals and conceding 18. In the league, Lorient has secured only 6 points from a possible 27, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 9 away matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistently scoring, managing to find the net in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their away matches in this competition, there is a tendency for few goals, as in 6 of the last 9 played there were fewer than 3 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they managed to turn the score around only once in the 9 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Lorient enters this match following a significant triumph, winning 1-3 in their visit to Monaco, putting an end to two consecutive matches without a win in Ligue 1: the goals were scored by Karim Dermane, Jean-Victor Makengo, and Ahmadou Bamba Dieng. The visiting team typically employs a 3-4-3 formation, where the three most advanced players are Jean-Victor Makengo, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng, and Pablo Pagis. Midfielder Laurent Abergel serves as the team’s brain, responsible for defining and conducting offensive actions. Typically, the team focuses their attacks down the right flank, exploiting the depth offered by Théo Le Bris. Missing from this match are Aiyegun Tosin, Darlin Yongwa, and Abdoulaye Faye, all with physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Yvon Mvogo, Montassar Talbi, Arsène Kouassi, Bamo Meïté, Igor Silva, Noah Doriann Cadiou, Jean-Victor Makengo, Théo Le Bris, Laurent Abergel, Pablo Pagis, Bamba Dieng.
Coach: O. Pantaloni.

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