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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction – Copa del Rey

Check out the best predictions for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Here you will find the best prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad for the Copa del Rey, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to offer the best prediction for the encounter between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad.

REAL MADRID Logo
Real Madrid

  • Result of 1st Game: 1 – 0

  • 01 April 2025 – 19::30
  • Copa del Rey

  • 2024/2025

  • Semifinals – 2nd Game

Real Sociedad Logo
Real Sociedad


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad

The best prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey is over 2.5 goals. Given the nature of both teams, a relatively open encounter can be expected, with few defensive concerns. Notably, the “over 2.5 goals” market has been successful in 70% of Real Sociedad’s last ten matches. As such, a lively contest with opportunities at both ends of the pitch is anticipated.

The best prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (guess for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky guess)

Match preview: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Real Madrid and Real Sociedad face off at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, in this return match of the Copa del Rey semifinals, following Real Madrid’s first-leg victory away (0-1). Historically, the home side has a strong record at this venue, having secured 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 meetings here. Their last encounter at this stadium was on 17 September 2023, in a La Liga match that ended with Real Madrid winning 2-1, with Federico Valverde (46′) and Joselu (60′) scoring for Real Madrid, while Ander Barrenetxea netted for Real Sociedad. The home advantage could play a crucial role, given that Real Sociedad shows noticeable differences between their home and away performances.

Team analysis: Real Madrid

This is a team relatively unaffected by home advantage, as their results are quite similar whether at home or away. In the past 30 matches, they have achieved 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring 33 goals and conceding 16, while at home they recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, netting 42 goals and conceding 17. The team reached this match following a home victory over Leganés (3-2). Real Madrid has won 8, drawn 1, and lost 1 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.

In this tournament, they have played 4 matches without being shut out. The attack has been consistently effective, having scored at least once in all of their last 4 matches in this competition. At home, there is a tendency for goals, with 32 of their last 33 matches resulting in more than 1.5 goals, and 26 of those matches seeing over 2.5 goals. In 15 encounters, they conceded the first goal 5 times but managed to turn the score around in 3 instances. An area to note is that in the last 20 matches played at home across all competitions, they conceded 11 of their 28 goals during the minutes (31’–45’).

Real Madrid enters the match on the back of a 3-2 win against Leganés, in a match valid for La Liga. It is important to mention that Real Madrid also defeated Real Sociedad 1-0 in the first leg of this semi-final in the Copa del Rey. The merengue club is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Kylian Mbappé, Rodrygo, and Vinícius Júnior spearheading the attack. Midfielder Bellingham will be a key figure, essential in the build-up play and renowned for his creativity and vision on the pitch. Missing from this encounter are Ferland Mendy, Dani Ceballos, Daniel Carvajal, and Éder Militão, all due to injury concerns.

Team analysis: Real Sociedad

This team is notably stronger at home as evidenced by their recent 30 games, which show 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses when playing away, compared to 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses on their home ground. They come into this match after securing a 2-1 home victory against Real Valladolid. In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Real Sociedad has only managed 2 wins, along with 1 draw and 7 defeats. Furthermore, they have struggled to recover in the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Real Sociedad enters this match following a victory of 2-1 over Real Valladolid in a La Liga fixture. It’s worth mentioning that the visitors lost the first leg of this semi-final in the Copa del Rey to Real Madrid (0-1). The away team typically adopts a 4-3-3 tactical formation, focusing on offensive play through the wings. In attack, Mikel Oyarzabal, Sergio Gómez, and Takefusa Kubo are the primary threats. The right flank often proves fruitful, with Hamari Traoré showcasing notable speed and skill, creating many scoring opportunities. All players are fit and available for this match.

Best predictions for this match

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (guess for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky guess)

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