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RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

Here you will find the best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg in the Bundesliga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between RB Leipzig vs Freiburg.

RB Leipzig logo
RB Leipzig

  • January 14, 2026 – 19::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 17
Freiburg logo
Freiburg


Betting tip and prediction for this match between RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

The best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg in the Bundesliga is over 2.5 goals. Despite RB Leipzig being the favorites, both teams have shown a tendency for open matches with numerous goal-scoring opportunities. Notably, 71% of RB Leipzig’s home games have ended with more than two goals at the 90-minute mark. Therefore, a dynamic encounter with clear chances at both ends is expected.

Best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

The teams RB Leipzig and Freiburg face off at the Red Bull Arena in a match of the 17th round of the Bundesliga. The recent head-to-head record favors the home team, which has achieved 6 wins and 3 draws in the last 9 matches. The latest confrontation between these two teams on March 8, 2025, ended in a draw (0-0).

Analysis of RB Leipzig

The home team currently sits in 3rd place, with 29 points from 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to FC Union Berlin (3-1). In the last match, they lost at home to Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-3). In the league, RB Leipzig has earned 18 points from the last 21 possible, with 6 wins and 1 loss in their last 7 home games. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend for goals in their home games, as 18 out of the last 19 fixtures have ended with over 1.5 goals. This is a team that often takes the lead first: they opened the scoring in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches, of which they led at half-time in 7 and maintained the lead until the final whistle in 9.

RB Leipzig enters this match demotivated after a loss, 1-3, to Bayer Leverkusen, marking their second consecutive defeat in the Bundesliga: the team’s only goal was scored by Xaver Schlager. The home side typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, where the three forward players are Tidiam Gomis, Rômulo, and Conrad Harder. It’s worth noting that when they go on the offensive, they usually do so through the left flank, exploiting the depth provided by David Raum. Lukas Klostermann, Johan Bakayoko, Antonio Nusa, and Viggo Gebel are sidelined due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Péter Gulácsi, David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orbán, Kosta Nedeljkovic, Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Conrad Harder, Tidiam Gomis, Rômulo.
Coach: Z. Low.

Analysis of Freiburg

The visiting team is currently in 8th place, with 23 points from 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won away against VfL Wolfsburg (3-4). In the last match, they won at home against Hamburger SV (2-1). In the last 8 away matches in the league, Freiburg has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, earning 8 points from 24 possible. Their defensive solidity has not been their strength, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has also been consistent, scoring in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 16 matches in the Bundesliga, they have been the first to concede 6 times but managed to turn the score around in 2 instances.

Freiburg comes into this match after a victory, 2-1, against Hamburg, marking their second consecutive win in the Bundesliga: the goals were scored by Igor Matanović and Vincenzo Grifo (53′ penalty). The visiting team typically employs a 4-3-3 tactical setup, favoring a faster style of play. In this setup, the two players who cause panic in the opponent’s defense are Philipp Treu, Lucas Höler, and Vincenzo Grifo. When going on the offensive, they usually do so through the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by full-back Lukas Kübler. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Noah Atubolu, Matthias Ginter, Christian Günter, Philipp Lienhart, Lukas Kübler, Philipp Treu, Johan Manzambi, Vincenzo Grifo, Maximilian Eggestein, Lucas Höler, Yuito Suzuki.
Coach: J. Schuster.

Best prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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