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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Here you find the best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad in La Liga, in addition to match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for the encounter between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad.

Rayo Vallecano Logo
Rayo Vallecano

  • 16 March 2025 – 17::30
  • La Liga

  • 2024/2025

  • Normal Time – Round 28

Real Sociedad Logo
Real Sociedad


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad

The best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad in La Liga is over 1.5 goals. A competitive match is expected, with both teams tending to play open games, leading to numerous goal-scoring opportunities. Notably, the “more than 1.5 goals” market has been successful in five of Real Sociedad’s last six away matches. Therefore, it’s anticipated that this fixture will feature several threatening moments near both goals.

The best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)

Match preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad will face each other at Vallecas Stadium, marking the 28th round of La Liga. In their previous league encounter, Rayo Vallecano secured a 1-2 victory away. Historically, the visiting team has fared well at this venue, achieving 1 win and 2 draws in their last 3 meetings. However, their most recent clash at this stadium, which took place on 29-02-2023, ended in a 2-2 draw. Goals were scored by Abdul Mumin (31′) and Baby (90′) for Rayo Vallecano, while Mikel Oyarzabal scored both goals for Real Sociedad (41′ and 66′). While this matchup features teams ranked 8th and 11th respectively overall, it actually pits the 16th-ranked home side against the 10th-ranked team away.

Team analysis: Rayo Vallecano

With 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, the home side sits in 8th place, amassing a total of 36 points. In their last outing, they were narrowly defeated by Real Madrid (2-1), having drawn their preceding match at home against Sevilla (1-1). This squad exhibits little dependence on home advantage, managing similar points at home and away: 19 points at their ground, scoring 18 and conceding 17, compared to 17 points on the road with 11 scored and 12 conceded. In the league, Rayo Vallecano has secured 15 points from 30, featuring 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at home. Their most common first-half result at home has been a 0-0 scoreline, occurring in 5 out of their 13 matches. The team has conceded in 8 of their last 10 fixtures, indicating defensive frailty, but their attack has consistently scored, managing to find the net in 8 of their last 10 league games. Of the 27 league matches played, they conceded the first goal 10 times, but have only managed to turn the result around 3 times.

Rayo Vallecano heads into this match following a 2-1 loss against Real Madrid, with the team’s sole goal scored by Pedro Díaz. The home side typically adopts a 4-3-3 formation, favouring an offensive and dynamic approach, facilitating quick transitions into attack. In this setup, the key attacking players include Álvaro García, Pep Chavaría, and Adrián Embarba. Notably, they often exploit the left wing, with Alfons Espino providing width and consistent support to the wingers. The team will be missing Isi Palazón, Sergio Camello, and Randy Nteka, all sidelined due to injury.

Team analysis: Real Sociedad

The visiting team currently occupies 11th position, with 34 points collected from 10 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses. In their penultimate match, they suffered a heavy defeat to FC Barcelona (4-0), and in their most recent outing, they lost at home to Sevilla (0-1). This team shows little variance in performance home versus away. In the most recent Europa League match, they fell to Manchester United (4-1). Over the last 10 league games, Real Sociedad has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, accumulating just 10 points from a possible 30.

In this league campaign, the club has suffered 5 consecutive defeats in their away matches. They have allowed goals in 8 of their last 10 league games, revealing weaknesses in their defensive setup. Their away matches tend to produce fewer goals, with 9 of the last 13 fixtures ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. In the 27 league matches they have played, they have never managed to overturn a deficit in the 13 matches where they conceded the first goal. A notable trend in the last 13 away matches is that they scored 4 of their 8 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Real Sociedad approaches this clash following a disheartening 4-1 defeat against Manchester United in the Europa League. In their latest La Liga match, they faced a 0-1 loss. The Basque side typically employs a 4-3-3 tactical system, favouring a patient and calculated style of play. Key players up front include Mikel Oyarzabal, Takefusa Kubo, and Ander Barrenetxea. When progressing forward, they hit the right flank, utilising Jon Aramburu’s depth and offensive capabilities effectively. Luka Sucic remains unavailable due to injury.

The best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)

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