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Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

Here you will find the best prediction of Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca for La Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including their recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca.

Rayo Vallecano logo
Rayo Vallecano

  • January 11, 2026 – 13::00
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Mallorca logo
Mallorca


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

The best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca in La Liga is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. In addition to expecting a relatively balanced encounter, both teams have shown a cohesive defensive sector, allowing their opponents to create few scoring opportunities. It is worth noting that the market “Less than 2.5 Goals” has been successful in all matches played by Rayo Vallecano at home.

Best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (more risky prediction)

Match prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

The teams Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca will clash at the Estadio de Vallecas in a match of the 19th round of La Liga. The head-to-head history played at this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, as there have been 2 draws and 2 victories for each team in the last 6 matches. Indeed, the last time they met at this stadium was on May 24, 2025, in a La Liga match that ended in a 0-0 draw. Attention must be paid to the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of Rayo Vallecano

The home team is currently in 14th place, with 19 points collected, after 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Elche by 4-0. In their last match, they drew at home against Getafe, ending 1-1. This is a team influenced by the home factor, stronger when playing in front of their fans, as they have registered 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding 23, against 6 wins, 8 draws, and 1 loss at home, scoring 20 goals and conceding 9. The team comes into this match after an away victory against Granada by 1-3. In the league, Rayo Vallecano has secured 9 points from 24 possible, having achieved 1 win, 6 draws, and 1 loss in their last 8 home games.

For this competition, they have recorded a streak of 4 draws in their last home games and have not lost any of their last 5 matches in their stadium. In home games, there are some frequent results: at the end of the first 45 minutes, 0-0 (5 out of 8 matches) and at the end of the match, 1-1 (4 out of 8 matches). In their home games, there is a trend for few goals, as all of their last 8 matches in the competition ended with less than 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in the competition, they have never managed to turn around a score in the 9 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Rayo Vallecano comes into this challenge after a solid victory, 1-3, in their visit to Granada’s stadium in a Copa del Rey match. In their last La Liga match, the hosts drew against Getafe, 1-1. The home club usually plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, relying on a balanced playing style, with a solid defense and quick transitions to attack. The most influential players in the offensive sector are Carlos Martín, Jorge de Frutos, and Álvaro García. It is important to highlight that midfielder Isi Palazón is responsible for dictating the pace of offensive plays, being essential for creating goal opportunities. Missing from this game are Alemão, Iván Balliu, and Abdul Munin, all injured.

Analysis of Mallorca

The visiting team is currently in 16th place, with 18 points gained, after 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away against Valencia, 1-1. In their last match, they lost at home to Girona, 1-2. This is a team influenced by the home factor, stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as they have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 15 goals and conceding 21. In their home games, they achieved 5 victories, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a total of 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last 9 away games in the league, Mallorca has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, having earned 5 points from a possible 27. The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of their last 10 matches, showing a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, achieving goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in the competition. In away games for this competition, there is a trend for goals, as 6 out of 9 finished with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 18 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have managed to turnaround the score only once.

Mallorca comes into this match following a loss, 1-2, against Girona, thus marking their second consecutive game without a win in La Liga: the only goal for the team was scored by Vedat Muriqi. The visiting team is expected to maintain their usual 4-3-3 formation, relying on an offensive trio consisting of Takuma Asano, Jan Virgili, and Vedat Muriqi. In the midfield, Sergi Darder stands out as a key player in the team’s offensive maneuver, both in building and finishing plays. It is worth noting that when they invest in the offensive process, they tend to channel attacks down the left flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by defender Johan Mojica. Iván Cuéllar is unavailable for this match due to physical issues.

Best prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (more risky prediction)

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