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Puebla vs Mazatlán Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Puebla x Mazatlán

Here you will find the best prediction for Puebla x Mazatlán in the Liga MX, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to offer the best prediction for this match between Puebla x Mazatlán.

Puebla logo
Puebla

  • January 13, 2026 – 01::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 2
Mazatlán logo
Mazatlán


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Puebla x Mazatlán

The best prediction for
Puebla x Mazatlán in the Liga MX is over 2.5 goals. Puebla and Mazatlán are facing off in a direct clash between teams at the lower end of the table, both pressured by a negative start in the Clausura. Puebla has shown defensive frailty, a trend carried over from the previous tournament, while Mazatlán often struggles away from home but still finds spaces against unstable defenses. Given the vulnerabilities of both sides, the indicated bet is for more than 2.5 goals in this encounter.

Match prediction for Puebla x Mazatlán

The teams Puebla and Mazatlán will play at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc in a match for the 2nd round of the Liga MX. In this stadium, the historical record of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 6 matches. However, the last time they faced each other at this stadium was on January 29, 2025, in a Liga MX game that ended with Mazatlán winning (0-1). The only goal of the match was scored by Emanuel Gularte (45′ own goal). In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as both teams show significant differences in their results at home versus away games.

Puebla Analysis

The home team arrives at this round after a loss in their debut against Atléticos, by (1-0). This is a stronger team when playing at home, as over the last 30 matches, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 12 losses as visitors, compared to 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses at home. In their last 8 home games in the league, Puebla has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, having gained 7 points out of a possible 24. In their home league games, the most frequent halftime score was 0-1 (3 in 8 games). The team has not been defensively strong, as they have conceded goals in every one of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 18 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 12 times and have managed only 1 comeback. In their last 16 home matches across all competitions, 1 period stands out: they scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes 76′ and 90′.

Puebla enters the second round under pressure after their opening loss, a situation that prolongs the issues experienced in the Apertura when they finished at the bottom of the competition. The team conceded 42 goals in the previous tournament, the worst defensive performance in the league, and continues to show frailty in their recovery and marking. Playing at home against Mazatlán is seen as a crucial opportunity to rebound early in the Clausura and avoid shaking the squad’s confidence in the initial rounds.

Mazatlán Analysis

The visiting team comes into this round following a defeat on their league debut against Juárez, by (1-2). This team is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as in their last 30 matches they have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 11 losses as visitors, with a total of 9 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home, they achieved 4 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with a total of 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. In their last 8 away games in the league, Mazatlán has 2 draws and 6 losses, gaining just 2 points out of a possible 24.

For this competition, they have not won as visitors in their last 8 games. In their away matches, the most frequent results are: at the end of the first 45 minutes, 0-0 (3 out of 10 games) and at the end of the match 1-0 (3 out of 10 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded at least one goal in every one of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring regularly, having netted goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend for few goals, as 5 of their last 8 matches in the league ended with less than 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 11 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Mazatlán also arrives for this clash seeking redemption, having lost in the opening round and sitting in the lower part of the table. In the Apertura, the team finished in 16th place, with many draws and low offensive efficiency. They usually find it challenging away from home but face a direct opponent in the battle to escape the lower end of the table. Scoring points in Puebla could be crucial for providing more stability to their work and avoiding a tournament start similar to the last.

Best prediction for Puebla x Mazatlán

More than 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
More than 2.5 goals (the riskiest tip)

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