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PSV vs Excelsior Prediction – Eredivisie

Check out the best predictions for PSV vs Excelsior

Here you will find the best prediction for PSV vs Excelsior in the Eredivisie, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head records and statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between PSV and Excelsior.

PSV logo
PSV

  • January 10, 2026 – 19::00
  • Eredivisie

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Excelsior logo
Excelsior


Betting tip and prediction for this match between PSV vs Excelsior

The best prediction for PSV vs Excelsior in the Eredivisie is over 3.5 goals. This match features a dominant team against one that is striving for stability in the mid-table. PSV maintains an intense offensive standard, creating many opportunities and often converting their gameplay into goals, especially at home. Even with a recent victory, Excelsior struggles defensively when playing away. This prediction suggests a lively match, and therefore, betting on more than 3.5 goals is advised.

Best prediction for PSV vs Excelsior

Over 3.5 goals

Match prediction for PSV vs Excelsior

The teams PSV and Excelsior will play at Philips Stadion in a match for the 18th round of the Eredivisie. PSV previously won away (1-2) the last time they faced each other in this league edition on September 27, 2025. In this stadium, the head-to-head record is favorable to the home team, with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. However, the last encounter at this venue was on January 14, 2025, in a KNVB Beker game where PSV clinched the victory (5-4) after extra time. Goals for PSV were scored by Ismael Saibari (90′), Ricardo Pepi (101′ and 86′), Malik Tillman (73′), and I. Perišić (110′), while Excelsior’s goals were from Lance Duijvestijn (80′), Noah Naujoks (58′ and 45′), and Richie Omorowa (117′). The home advantage may play a crucial role, as PSV has significant discrepancies in results at home compared to their away performance.

PSV Analysis

After 15 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, the home team currently holds the 1st position with 46 points. In their latest match, they won against FC Utrecht away (1-2), following a home win against Heracles Almelo (4-3). Interestingly, this team has shown stronger results away, with 13 wins and 2 draws in their last 30 away games, compared to 11 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses at home. In the league, PSV has achieved 19 points out of 24 possible, recording 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 8 matches on home turf.

In this competition, they are on an impressive streak of 11 consecutive victories in their recent matches and have not lost any of their last 13 games. Their attack has been consistently potent, scoring at least once in the last 10 games in the league. At home, 7 out of 8 matches concluded with more than 2.5 goals. The team often opens the scoring early, having managed to score first in 14 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches. Of those, they led at halftime in 12 occasions and maintained that lead until the end in 13.

PSV remains relentless in the Eredivisie and has returned to winning, reinforcing a season where they aim to establish themselves as an absolute contender. The squad does not spare effort, pairing intensity with quality and displaying a hunger for titles with each passing round. Despite their impressive campaign, the internal narrative remains grounded with a total focus on their objectives. Their fifteenth win solidifies their dominant moment and boosts the confidence of the team. Now, back at home, PSV faces Excelsior aware that maintaining their pace is crucial to turning their superiority into additional points.

Excelsior Analysis

After 6 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, the visiting team stands in 13th place, having collected 19 points. In their latest match, they secured a home victory against PEC Zwolle (2-1), and in the previous game, they lost at home to FC Groningen (0-2). This team has been performing consistently when playing away, with a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away games, compared to 9 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses at home. Their last away game in this competition ended in a win (1-2) against Ajax. In their recent 7 away games in the league, Excelsior has recorded 2 victories, 1 draw, and 4 losses, collecting 7 points from 21 available. They have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, while their attack has scored consistently, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their away matches, with 15 out of 18 concluding with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 16 games this season, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never managed to turn the score around.

Excelsior has returned to winning after several slip-ups and regained confidence at an important time in the season. In the previous round, the team gave their all, clinching a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Zwolle at home. This result served as a morale boost and reinforced the competitive spirit of the group. However, the difficulty now increases. The trip to face the fiercest opponent in the Dutch prediction requires maximum focus. Facing a powerful PSV, any slip might prove fatal.

Best prediction for PSV vs Excelsior

Over 3.5 goals

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